Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
343 AM EDT Sat Nov 05 2022

Valid 00Z Sun Nov 06 2022 - 00Z Sun Nov 13 2022

The guidance continues to agree that a fairly typical easterly
trade wind flow should continue through the next week over Hawaii,
with varying degrees in terms of wind speed. The strongest winds
should be today, corresponding with peak strength of high pressure
to the northeast of the state. Several areas of high pressure will
persist into next weekend, which should maintain a mostly easterly
component to the winds with some minor variability as a couple of
fronts move over well to the north. This generally would mean
typical windward/mountain-focused showers along eastern facing
terrain amidst an overall drier regime setting up for next week.
The latest models and ensembles show good agreement through much
of the period on this pattern, although the CMC is more bullish in
bringing troughing towards the state next weekend compared to the
GFS or the ECMWF and the ensemble means.

Santorelli