Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
252 AM EST Mon Nov 07 2022

Valid 00Z Tue Nov 08 2022 - 00Z Tue Nov 15 2022

Generally persistent high pressure north of Hawaii through much of
this week will allow for a fairly typical easterly trade wind flow
pattern with moderate to locally breezy speeds. This should
support mainly windward/mountain-focused showers along the eastern
facing terrain. An upper trough or cut-off closed low to the
northeast of Hawaii later this week should cause trades to shift
more northeasterly for a brief time this weekend, but back to the
east (and weaker) by early next week. The latest models and
ensembles show very good agreement through much of the week on
this overall pattern, with lingering uncertainties still on how
close a cut off low to the northeast gets to Hawaii. The better
consensus right now suggests it should stay far enough away with
minimal to no impacts expected.

Santorelli