Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
204 AM EST Sat Nov 12 2022

Valid 00Z Sun Nov 13 2022 - 00Z Sun Nov 20 2022

A well defined break in the subtropical ridge is expected to
persist in the general vicinity of 140W-150W through the middle of
next week based on the latest model guidance.  This is a result of
both an inverted surface trough east of the Islands this weekend,
and then a closed low develops in the mid-latitudes with a
trailing front approaching the state.  The core of the subtropical
high should be centered northwest of the state through about
Wednesday, and then the ridge axis builds back in north of the
state by the end of the week.

The orientation of the surface trough and the high location should
generally result in northeasterly trade wind flow at least through
Tuesday with some periods of ENE or easterly flow.  The wind
should generally veer more easterly by Wednesday and beyond for
most areas as the col in the ridge breaks down.  No areas of
organized significant rainfall are currently expected for the
upcoming week.

Hamrick