Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
256 AM EST Mon Nov 14 2022

Valid 00Z Tue Nov 15 2022 - 00Z Tue Nov 22 2022

A break in the subtropical ridge is expected to persist in the
general vicinity of 140W-150W through about Wednesday based on the
latest ensemble means.  This is a result of a low pressure system
developing in the mid-latitudes with a trailing front north of the
state.  The core of the subtropical high should be centered
northwest of the state through midweek, and then the ridge axis
builds back in north of the state by the end of the week and into
next weekend.

The orientation of the surface trough and the high location should
generally result in northeasterly trade wind flow at least through
Tuesday with some periods of ENE or easterly flow.  The wind
should generally veer more easterly by Wednesday and beyond for
most areas as the col in the ridge breaks down, and stronger winds
going into next weekend as the ridge builds in to the north.  No
areas of organized significant rainfall are currently expected for
the upcoming week.

Hamrick