Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
257 AM EST Tue Nov 15 2022

Valid 00Z Wed Nov 16 2022 - 00Z Wed Nov 23 2022

A large surface low initially north of Hawaii will tend to keep a
col in the subtropical ridge through the middle of the week.  The
low then weakens and lifts north, allowing the ridge axis to build
back in through the weekend.  By Monday, another trough develops
with a trailing cold front well to the west of the state, with the
GEFS mean a bit farther east than the EC mean.  The trades should
generally veer more easterly by Wednesday and beyond for most
areas as the col in the ridge breaks down, and stronger winds are
likely going into next weekend as the ridge builds in to the
north.  There may be an increase in terrain enhanced showers going
into Friday and Saturday, but not expected to be significant.

Hamrick