Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
311 AM EDT Thu Aug 03 2023

Valid 00Z Fri Aug 04 2023 - 00Z Fri Aug 11 2023

A preferred composite of well clustered model and ensemble
mid-larger scale guidance still indicates that upper trough
amplification and slow approach toward the state from the east
should act to weaken trades slightly over the next few days in a
pattern with slowly returning moisture and shower activity. Upper
trough development to over the state over the weekend should
further pool moisture and destabilize. The gradual translation of
the main upper trough to the west of the state next week may allow
renewed trade flow into the islands as high pressure
rebuilds/bridges back to the north of the state. This may bring
some lead tropical moisture into the state from the southeast
early next week, but the latest guidance from the National
Hurricane Center suggests the subsequent approach of expected
Hurricane Dora and deep associated moisture may hold well south of
the Big Island heading into next midweek. 

Schichtel