Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
316 AM EDT Sat Oct 07 2023

Valid 00Z Sun Oct 08 2023 - 00Z Sun Oct 15 2023

Model and ensemble solutions are reasonably well clustered for
much of the next week in a generally benign weather pattern with
seemingly above normal predictability. A favored composite
indicates that moisture should thin this weekend and high pressure
bridging to the north of the islands should allow the return of
easterly trade winds through early-mid next week. Mostly dry
conditions are expected with windward/mauka showers, and very
little shower activity is forecast to reach leeward communities.
Some models show an axis of moisture extending towards the Big
Island mid-week, which may increase precipitation chances. Trade
winds will likely temporarily decrease later next week as a cold
front approaches from the north, but may return heading into next
weekend with renewed post-frontal high pressure development to the
northwest of the islands.

Schichtel