Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
258 AM EST Thu Nov 09 2023

Valid 00Z Fri Nov 10 2023 - 00Z Fri Nov 17 2023

A front northwest of Hawaii is forecast to weaken to a trough on
Thursday, promoting moderate winds with a bit of a southerly
component persisting through Thursday. This trough will track back
west away from the state over the next couple of days, leading to
winds gradually strengthening back to breezy levels and turning
back to the more typical easterly direction through the latter
part of the week, as a surface high builds north of the state. A
slight increase in moisture could increase windward/mauka showers
across the northwestern islands around Saturday.

The anomalously strong high actually looks to sink south even
closer to Hawaii by early next week and strengthen trades further.
The high encroaching on the state could push a cold front across
early in the workweek, with moisture pooling ahead of it possibly
increasing showers especially for windward and mauka areas
Monday-Tuesday. Strong winds could accompany the front shifting to
a northeasterly direction, and drier dewpoints are expected behind
the front for midweek and beyond.

Tate