Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1249 AM EST Fri Nov 10 2023

Valid 00Z Sat Nov 11 2023 - 00Z Sat Nov 18 2023

Models and ensembles reasonable agree that a weakened front/trough
northwest of the islands will track back west away from the state
over the next couple of days, leading to winds gradually
strengthening back to breezy levels and turning back to the more
typical easterly direction through the latter part of the week, as
a surface high builds north of the state. A slight increase in
moisture could increase windward/mauka showers across the
northwestern islands around Saturday. The anomalously strong high
actually looks to sink south even closer to Hawaii by early next
week and strengthen trades further. The high encroaching on the
state could push a cold front across early in the workweek, with
moisture pooling ahead of it possibly increasing showers
especially for windward and mauka areas Monday-Tuesday. Strong
winds could accompany the front shifting to a northeasterly
direction, and drier dewpoints are expected behind the front for
midweek and beyond.

Schichtel