Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
247 AM EST Fri Dec 08 2023

Valid 00Z Sat Dec 09 2023 - 00Z Sat Dec 16 2023

Through late this week, a front will push south and then likely
stall just north of the state, but could push a band of weak
moisture into Kauai for some increasing shower chances there.
Meanwhile this pattern has reduced the typical trade winds, and
weak winds favoring land and sea breezes should remain in place
through Friday-Saturday. By early next week, trades look to
increase again to around moderate levels with a relatively weak
surface ridge poking in from the east, and then could strengthen
further from the northeasterly direction by Tuesday-Wednesday as a
surface high comes in from the northwest. The pattern may allow
for some windward/mauka showers. There is ample uncertainty at
this point if another cold front could approach or move through
the state for mid to late week, with the GFS the most aggressive
in pushing a front all the way through the state while other
guidance stalls it to the north or just sneaks it into the
northwestern islands. This will continue to be monitored.

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