Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
248 AM EST Mon Feb 05 2024

Valid 00Z Tue Feb 06 2024 - 00Z Tue Feb 13 2024

High pressure to the north of Hawaii will support a period of
brisk to strong winds through Thursday, with high Surf for north
and west facing shores likely. Upper ridging will build over the
state early this week and with an overall drier airmass in place,
this should keep any shower chances to mainly windward facing
slopes. The flow aloft should turn more zonal with the high
pressure to the north shifting well east of the state and a couple
of systems passing well to the north. This should allow trade
winds to trend much lighter and in a more southeasterly direction
Friday to at least Monday. The latest models and ensembles
continue to show excellent agreement on this pattern with some
variability in some of the smaller scale details.

Santorelli