Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
227 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2024

Valid 00Z Fri Feb 16 2024 - 00Z Fri Feb 23 2024

The cold front that will clear Hawaii by Friday morning will
herald the arrival of slightly cooler temperatures and lower
humidity.  High pressure gradually builds in from the west going
into the weekend based on the ensemble means, with the surface
high centered just north of the main Islands by next Monday before
moving to a position northeast of the state by Tuesday based on
the ensemble means.  A col is expected to develop within the main
subtropical ridge axis by next Wednesday with a weak frontal
boundary approaching the northwestern Islands.

The passage of the cold front will bring a stronger wind surge out
of the north late Thursday into Friday as the cold front clears
the state, followed by northeasterly flow over the weekend that
gradually veers to the east.  There will likely be some increase
in shower coverage across the Islands for the end of the week as
the front passes, but otherwise no organized areas of heavy
rainfall are anticipated.

Hamrick