Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
353 AM EDT Mon Mar 25 2024

Valid 00Z Tue Mar 26 2024 - 00Z Tue Apr 02 2024

Trade winds look to decrease slightly Monday-Tuesday as surface
high pressure northeast of Hawaii continues to track eastward and
weaken. Easterly trades should continue around moderate levels but
perhaps allow for a hybrid trade and land/sea breeze wind pattern.
Meanwhile aloft, a closed low centered south of the state should
drift a bit north and join up with the northern stream flow over
the next couple of days. This weak troughing aloft should lead to
decreasing stability and perhaps allow for increasing showers.
However, this only seems to produce minor if any increases in
precipitation coverage in the model guidance. This weak upper
troughing looks to persist into late week, while at the surface
another reasonably strong high tracks east and sets up to the
north, helping to strengthen winds back to breezy levels. This
general pattern is likely to persist into the weekend. By early
next week, there is some potential for a front well northwest of
Hawaii to draw moisture northward across the state, increasing
shower potential, so this will continue to be monitored.

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