Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
334 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Valid 00Z Sun Jun 16 2024 - 00Z Sun Jun 23 2024

Today's models and ensembles maintain good continuity with the
forecast pattern while refining some of the specifics. High
pressure initially to the northeast of the state should retrograde
with time to become positioned more directly to the north toward
mid-late week. As a result, trades will likely be somewhat
stronger during the latter half of the week than in the shorter
term.  Windward and mountain locations will see the primary focus
for showers but some rain could stray into other areas as well. 
The weak upper low tracking just south of the main islands from
the weekend into early next week (likely shearing out west of the
state after Wednesday) may enhance rainfall somewhat during and
after its passage. Guidance has become better clustered in
depicting a band of moisture crossing the state from east to west
during Tuesday-Wednesday, followed by a drier pocket on Thursday
and then passage of another area of moisture during
Friday-Saturday. 

Rausch