Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 300 AM EST Thu Nov 14 2019 Valid 12Z Thu Nov 14 2019 - 12Z Sat Nov 16 2019 ...Temperatures across the eastern U.S. will recover during the next couple of days but they will remain below average... ...Rain along the Gulf Coast will head to the Southeast by the weekend with increasing winds... ...Good chance of snows across the Great Lakes through Friday while rain moves onshore into the Pacific Northwest... The early season arctic outbreak that has brought widespread record cold temperatures across the eastern two-thirds of the country will begin to ease it grip today as the associated arctic high pressure system moves east of New England. Nevertheless, more record low temperatures are expected from the Mid-Atlantic into the Northeast this morning with actual temperatures dipping into the single digits in interior New England. Temperatures will recover across the eastern U.S. for the next couple of days but readings will remain below average for November. For the Deep South, a compact upper-level vortex arriving from northern Mexico will bring a good chance of rain along the Gulf Coast today as a coastal front begins to form. The rain associated with this system is expected to spread quickly eastward into the southeastern U.S. The interaction between the upper vortex and the coastal front will result in the formation of a low pressure system over the eastern Gulf of Mexico by this evening. By Friday morning, the storm could be intensifying more rapidly as it moves northeastward just off the southeast U.S. coast. Uncertainty remains higher regarding the forecast track and intensity of this storm but the southeast U.S. coast will likely see increasing northeast winds together with moderate to heavy rainfall on Friday, possibly lingering into Saturday. A relatively weak frontal system of Pacific origin will bring a good chance of snow across the Great Lakes today. Another cold front arriving from Canada will bring a renewed round of snow into the upper Great Lakes early on Friday. Interior New England will see snow showers lingering into Saturday. In the West, above average temperatures will expand eastward into the northern and central High Plains by Friday. Moisture will stream northward out of the Pacific but will only affect extreme NW California into the WA, with Vancouver Island and the Olympic Peninsula coming out wettest. While the Southwest/Southern California/Southern Rockies will remain warm, however, there will be modest humidity values and winds are expected to be weak; therefore, fire danger is lower than recent weeks and there are no Red Flag conditions raised by local National Weather Service forecast offices or an area of concern highlighted by the Storm Predication Center at this time. Kong Graphics available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php