Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
324 PM EDT Sun Jul 03 2022

Valid 00Z Mon Jul 04 2022 - 00Z Wed Jul 06 2022

...Excessive Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorms possible across northern
tier...

...West cools down as Great Plains into Midwest warm up...

...Critical fire weather conditions to persist across the Great Basin this
weekend...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to focus around a pair of
surface fronts over parts of the Pacific Northwest and Northern Plains
before expanding into the Upper Midwest, Great Lakes and Northeast through
Monday night. Within this convection some of the storms will turn severe
across, particularly for portions of the Northern/Central Plains and from
the Upper Mississippi Valley, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and the
Mid-Atlantic region. An enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms was issued
by the Storm Prediction Center for parts of central-southern Montana and
western North Dakota where the greatest threat of damaging winds are
likely to be. Pockets of heavy rainfall and isolated areas of flash
flooding will also be possible across the northern tier.

A strong cold front will usher in substantial cooling along the West Coast
and points inland today and continuing into tomorrow before weakening by
midweek. Persistent dry conditions across much of the Great Basin will
contribute to maintaining Critical Fire weather risk. Elsewhere,
upper-level ridging will build over the central part of the country
beginning today, which will lead to anomalous warmth for parts of the
Great Plains and Midwest through midweek.

Campbell/Kebede

Graphics are available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php