Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
400 PM EDT Tue Jul 05 2022

Valid 00Z Wed Jul 06 2022 - 00Z Fri Jul 08 2022

...Showers and thunderstorms with excessive rainfall and severe weather
possible through midweek from the Northern Rockies and High Plains to the
Mid Atlantic and Southeast...

...Dangerous heat and humidity to continue from parts of the central and
southern Plains to the Mid Atlantic and Southeast...

An ongoing severe thunderstorm complex, producing widespread damaging
winds across South Dakota will likely persist, with severe weather
continuing into southwest Minnesota and northern Iowa this evening before
diminishing overnight.  This system developed along a slow-moving frontal
boundary that is expected to drift south from the northern Plains and
Great Lakes into the central Plains, Ohio Valley, and Mid Atlantic over
the next couple of days.  This front will likely remain a focus for
unsettled weather through midweek, with showers and storms developing
along it each day.  Some of these storms may become strong to severe, with
damaging winds, large hail, and flooding rains possible.  Severe storms
are also likely to develop both tomorrow and Thursday over the northern
Rockies and High Plains, where large hail and damaging winds are possible.

While cooler temperatures are expected across the northern Plains and
Upper Midwest tomorrow, dangerous heat and humidity is expected to persist
south of the front.  With overnight lows forecast to remain in the 70s in
most locations, before heat indices reach into the triple digits once
again tomorrow, Heat Advisories and Excessive Heat Warnings cover a broad
portion of the central and southern Plains, the mid and lower Mississippi
Valley, the lower Ohio and Tennessee valleys, as well as parts of the
coastal Mid Atlantic and Southeast.

While much of the central and eastern U.S. remains hot, seasonal to
below-average temperatures are forecast along the West Coast and into the
Great Basin, Southwest, and the central to southern Rockies.  Some
afternoon and evening showers and storms are possible from eastern Arizona
and New Mexico into the southern and central Rockies, continuing the
anomalously wet start to the summer across that region.

Pereira

Graphics are available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php