Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 233 PM EDT Tue Sep 06 2016 Valid 00Z Wed Sep 07 2016 - 00Z Fri Sep 09 2016 ...Gusty winds and coastal flooding expected to gradually subside along the Northeastern U.S. coast through Wednesday... ...Frontal boundary expected to bring severe thunderstorms and heavy rain from the central plains to the Midwest... ...Heavy rain possible across the southwestern U.S. associated with Hurricane Newton... The area of low pressure that was formerly Hermine is forecast to continue meandering off the southern New England coastline through Wednesday night as it weakens. Locally gusty winds and coastal flooding over portions of Long Island and southeastern New England should gradually diminish during the next day or so. Additional light rainfall amounts are possible along the coast from New Jersey to southeastern Massachusetts. A frontal boundary extending from the central plains to the Upper Midwest will focus areas of showers and thunderstorms through tonight. The Storm Prediction Center is forecasting a slight risk over severe thunderstorms through tonight from portions of the central plains to the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes. Heavy rain is also possible, which could produce flooding in some areas. On Thursday as an upper-level disturbance moves into the northern plains, the northern portion of the frontal system will begin to move east across the Great Lakes, while areas of showers and thunderstorms continue farther south from the central/southern plains to the Mid-Mississippi valley. The forecast track of Hurricane Newton from the National Hurricane Center takes the system into northwestern Mexico by Wednesday as it weakens to a tropical storm, and then to a remnant low by Wednesday evening as the system reaches southeastern Arizona. Tropical moisture associated with Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts over southeastern Arizona and southwestern New Mexico through Thursday. Heavy rain could cause flash flooding and mud slides, especially in mountainous terrain. Temperatures are forecast to warm across the eastern third of the nation through mid-week as high pressure aloft builds overhead. Afternoon high temperatures are forecast to be 10 to 20 degrees above average across much of the eastern U.S. on Wednesday and Thursday, with temperatures rising well into the 90s for much of the East Coast. Ryan Graphics available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_wbg.php