Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 407 AM EDT Fri Oct 06 2017 Valid 12Z Fri Oct 06 2017 - 12Z Sun Oct 08 2017 ...There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Southern High Plains into the Central Plains... ...Tropical Cyclone Nate will move northward over the Central Gulf of Mexico... ...Heavy rain possible over parts of the Upper Great Lakes into parts of the Central Plains... A wave of low pressure over the Central High Plains along a front extending from the Northern Mid-Atlantic westward to the Central Rockies will move northeastward to the Upper Great Lakes by Saturday evening. The system will produce showers and thunderstorms along and near the boundary from the Great Lakes westward to the Central High Plains that will develop along and ahead of the front over parts of the Central/Southern Plains overnight Friday. The showers and thunderstorms will continue over the Upper Great Lakes and extend southward across the Western Ohio Valley/Tennessee Valley into the Lower Mississippi Valley by Saturday evening. In addition, rain will develop over parts of the Lower Great Lakes into the Northeast from late Friday morning that will lift northward into Canada by Saturday afternoon. A surface low moves westward across the Gulf of Mexico, spreading widespread convection westward along the Gulf coast for the next few days. Tropical Storm Nate located near Nicaragua will track north over the next few days into the central Gulf behind this initial low pressure area. The latest track from the National hurricane Center has it making landfall near the central Gulf coast on Sunday. Please refer to NHC for more specifics on the track, intensity and hazards with this system. Ziegenfelder Graphics available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php