Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 328 PM EDT Fri Oct 06 2017 Valid 00Z Sat Oct 07 2017 - 00Z Mon Oct 09 2017 ...Heavy rain along with severe weather expected from the central Plains to the Great Lakes... ...Tropical Storm Nate will bring heavy rainfall along with other hazards to the Central Gulf Coast and Southeast... ...Snow expected for higher elevations of the Washington Cascades and northern Rockies... A strong cold front will progress eastward across the central Plains and into the Great Lakes over the next few days. Plenty of moisture will pool along the front--giving way to heavy rainfall especially in the central Plains and into the middle Mississippi Valley through tomorrow morning. There is a moderate risk of flash flooding from northeastern Kansas to western Iowa. There is also an enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms from the Texas Panhandle to central Kansas through tomorrow morning--although the height of the severe weather risk during the late afternoon/evening hours. As this front continues its easterly trek, showers and thunderstorms will follow suit--bringing light precipitation to the Upper Midwest, Ohio Valley, and Great Lakes. The cold front will move quickly, so by Sunday morning most of the precipitation will shift to the Lower Great Lakes, Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Please see the Storm Prediction Center for more information on the severe weather chances. Tropical Storm Nate is currently off the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula and will continue on a northward path into the Central Gulf of Mexico. There will be an increase in showers and thunderstorms along the central Gulf Coast region by Saturday afternoon as Nate strengthens into a hurricane and draws near the coast. By Sunday morning, Nate will make landfall and will move northeast across the Southeast toward the Carolinas. Heavy rain, storm surge, high winds and tornadoes will accompany Nate as threats along the central Gulf Coast. The heaviest rainfall will taper off along the coastal region by Sunday afternoon as Nate lifts north. For more information on the track, intensity, and current threats associated with Nate--please see the National Hurricane Center (www.hurricanes.gov). A Pacific front will begin dropping south across the Pacific Northwest on Saturday morning. Light showers and high elevation snow can be expected for the Cascades and parts of the northern Rockies throughout the day. By Sunday, As the front moves farther south over the central Rockies and Great Basin, precipitation will spread across the northern Rockies--which will bring snowfall to the higher elevations. Reinhart Graphics available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php