Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 404 AM EDT Tue Sep 04 2018 Valid 12Z Tue Sep 04 2018 - 12Z Thu Sep 06 2018 ...Tropical Storm Gordon is forecast to strengthen to a hurricane before making landfall in Mississippi... ...Slight risk for severe thunderstorms over parts of the Northern Plains, Upper Mississippi Valley and the central Gulf Coast... ...Heavy rain expected from the Central Plains to the Upper Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes region... ...Heavy rain possible over parts of the Southern Plains and likely over the Lower Mississippi Valley as Tropical Cyclone Gordon moves inland... Tropical Storm Gordon is forecast to intensify to a hurricane just prior to making landfall near Mississippi. The current track has it reaching Arkansas before hooking northeast through Missouri. Heavy rain will accompany Gordon along its track, spreading an extensive swath of 3 to 6 inches will locally higher amounts. Widespread flash flooding will be a concern through the end of the week. Severe thunderstorms will likely trigger over parts of the Gulf Coast in association with Tropical Cyclone Gordon. The Storm Prediction Center has a Slight Risk in effect. Check the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center for the track and intensity of Gordon. Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms will continue to impact the north-central portions of the country over the next few days as a frontal system moves through the Northern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley. Heavy rain is expected with some of these storms and will likely focus over portions of Minnesota and Wisconsin where WPC has a Moderate Risk in effect. This area could have 2 to 4 inches with localized higher amounts. Numerous areas within this region continue to have flooding, which will be aggravated by any additional rainfall. Meanwhile, upper-level energy over parts of the Central Gulf Coast into parts of the Southern Plains will slowly move northward into parts of the Central Plains this afternoon. This will generate showers and thunderstorms across the Southern Plains eastward into Lower Mississippi Valley/Southeast through Wednesday. Monsoonal moisture and daytime heating will aid in producing showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Southwest/Great Basin and the Central/Southern Rockies through Wednesday. The greatest areal coverage of the showers and thunderstorms will be during the late afternoon into the late evening on Monday and Tuesday. Campbell Graphics available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php