Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 240 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018 Valid 00Z Tue Nov 13 2018 - 00Z Thu Nov 15 2018 ...Extremely Critical fire weather conditions continue in California as well as Air Quality Alerts... ...There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Central Gulf Coast and parts of the Southeast Coast... ...Heavy rain possible over parts of the Southeast/Eastern Gulf Coast into parts of the Mid-Atlantic region... ...Snow possible over parts of Northern New England and lake effect snow over the Great Lakes... Dangerous fire weather conditions continue in California a long with Air Quality Alerts. Very dry air is in place with low relative humidities over California and ongoing drought conditions will all create conditions favorable for fire weather. The Storm Prediction Center has an Extremely Critical fire weather outlook for Southern California on Monday and Tuesday, while Critical conditions continue for Northern California on Monday. Widespread Red Flag Warnings are in effect as well. Air Quality Alerts are up for the on going fires that will also reduce visibility over the period. Moisture overrunning a front extending from the Lower Great Lakes to the Central Gulf Coast will aid in developing snow and rain over parts of the Southern Plains, Lower/Middle Mississippi Valley, and Ohio Valley that will end over the Southern Plains and the Lower/Middle Mississippi Valley overnight Monday. Late Monday night snow will develop over parts of Northern New England and parts of the Northern Mid-Atlantic that will continue through Tuesday evening. The snow will end over parts of the Ohio Valley by Tuesday afternoon. In addition, upper-level energy moving over the Great Lakes and cold air will aid in producing lake effect snow downwind from the Great Lakes that will wind down on Wednesday. Meanwhile, showers and thunderstorms will develop along and ahead of the aforementioned front over parts of Central Gulf Coast and the Southeast that will be confined to parts of the Southeast by Tuesday morning. The showers and thunderstorms will continue over parts of the Florida peninsula through Wednesday. Moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will stream into the Central Gulf Coast into the Southeast as well as the Ohio Valley/Mid-Atlantic ending over the Ohio Valley by Tuesday morning and Northern Mid-Atlantic by Tuesday evening. A wave of low pressure will develop along the Southeast Coast and move northward along the coast to Maine by Tuesday evening. Rain will develop over parts of the Tennessee Valley and the Mid-Atlantic by Monday evening that will move northward into Southern New England by Tuesday morning. The rain will end over Southern New England by Tuesday evening and the Mid-Atlantic by Wednesday. Elsewhere, onshore flow will develop over the Pacific Northwest on Tuesday afternoon and continue into Wednesday. Rain will develop along the Pacific Northwest Coast on Tuesday evening that will move inland to parts of the Northern Intermountain Region by Wednesday. Additionally, as high pressure settles over the Southern/Central Rockies and the Central/Southern Plains, temperatures will be 10 to 25 degrees below average. Ziegenfelder Graphics available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php