Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 401 PM EDT Mon Jul 08 2019 Valid 00Z Tue Jul 09 2019 - 00Z Thu Jul 11 2019 ...Severe weather and heavy rainfall expected for the Northern/Central Plains through Tuesday... ...Heavy rainfall is expected across the southern Mid-Atlantic & Carolinas through Tuesday morning... ...Heavy rainfall for Florida through Wednesday... ...Record heat will continue across portions of southern Alaska through Wednesday... An upper level trough currently stationed over the Pacific Northewest will produce a severe weather and heavy rain event over the Northern/Central Plains through Tuesday. The Storm Prediction Center issued an Enhanced Risk embeded within a Slight Risk of Severe Weather for parts of the Northern Plains/Rockies and Central Plains. A Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall was issued for the Northern Plains/Rockies and Central Plains through Tuesday morning due to the expected 1-3 inches of heavy rainfall. A slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall is also in place for eastern Virginia through Tuesday morning as Gulf moisture interacts with a zonal surface boundary over central Virginia. Temperatures are expected to fall considerably tonight over the foothills of the Northern Rockies and western Montana behind the surface low pressure system. Highs on Tuesday are likely to be 20-25 degrees below normal. The cooler airmass will continue advecting eastward over the Central Plains on Tuesday with highs likely to be 10-15 degrees below normal. An area of low pressure drifts southward from Georgia into the northeast Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday morning, bringing the chance of heavy rainfall to Florida through Wednesday. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) advertises a high chance of this system evolving into a tropical depression later this week. See Tropical Outlooks from NHC for the latest on this system's prospects as a tropical system in the northeast and north-central Gulf of Mexico. 1-2 inches of rain is probable for western Florida through Wednesday. Record heat over parts of Alaska are expected to continue through Wednesday as the Upper-level ridge begins to weaken and move westward across the Bearing Strait and over Russia. Records are likely to be set on Tuesday and potentially Wednesday as highs are expected to be anywhere between 15-30 degrees above normal across the state. Kebede Graphics available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php