Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 210 PM EDT Fri Nov 01 2019 Valid 00Z Sat Nov 02 2019 - 00Z Mon Nov 04 2019 ...A much quieter pattern across the nation over the next several days... ...Fire weather threat across the west is diminishing... ...First Lake effect snow event possible downwind of the Great Lakes... After a very active period of weather across the nation this week, the weekend will start on a quieter note across most of the country and remain so into early next week. The upper level pattern across North America will remain broadly amplified with a ridge off the West coast and a broad trof across the Central to Eastern U.S. In the wake of the strong front that pushed off the east coast Friday morning, a reinforcing shot of cold air will be swinging east through the Great Lakes and Northeast this weekend. This reinforcing shot of cold air will produce the first lake effect snow event of the season Saturday into Sunday with locally heavy snows in the favored locations downwind of the Great Lakes. This lake effect precipitation will be the primary precipitation across the nation in an otherwise dry pattern. One exception, may be across south Florida where scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. While conditions will be windy in the wake of the above mentioned cold fronts affecting the Great Lakes into the Northeast, calmer winds are expected across California. This will bring some relief from the recent life threatening fire weather conditions, although the large scale pattern will remain unfavorable for much needed precipitation. Temperature wise, below average temperatures expected across much of the Central to Eastern U.S. over the next few days, save for central to south Florida where slightly above average readings are expected. Above average temperatures are expected along the West coast, Great Basin and into the Southwest. After several days of record cold and warmth, the forecast temperatures over the next few days will have minimal record potential. Oravec Graphics available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php