Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 350 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2020 Valid 00Z Sun Jun 14 2020 - 00Z Tue Jun 16 2020 ...Rain and thunderstorms are expected for the Southern/Central Appalachians into the Carolinas and Florida... ...Rounds of precipitation and thunderstorms along with cool temperatures are expected for the northwestern to north-central parts of the country... ...Critical Risks of fire weather are delineated for parts of the Four Corners and High Plains... In the East, an upper-level trough is forecast to sink southward and become cut off from the main jet stream to the north. This slow-moving upper-level low, along with a stationary front along the Atlantic coast and moisture flowing in, will lead to persistent rainfall over portions of the East. The heaviest rainfall of 1 to 3 inches is expected over the Central/Southern Appalachians and near the coast of the Carolinas, and Marginal Risks of flash flooding are in place. Southern Florida could also rainfall totals locally over 2 inches through Monday. Temperatures will be cooler than normal for the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, and the Eastern Seaboard. Upper-level troughing is also expected to persist over the northwestern U.S. through the beginning of next week as instances of upper-level energy move through and reinforce it. This will cause below normal temperatures to continue particularly across the Northwest through Monday, where highs each day should be 10 to 20 degrees below normal. Additionally, precipitation is expected--mostly rain, but some snow could fall in the Northern Rockies and Cascades considering the cool temperatures. Severe thunderstorms are also a possibility. Northwestern Montana has a Slight Risk of severe storms in place from the Storm Prediction Center through tonight, and strong storms are possible throughout much of the High Plains. On Sunday, the severe risk should focus over the Northern Plains. Ahead of the western trough, gusty winds and mainly dry conditions (besides a few scattered afternoon thunderstorms) are forecast across the Southwest, Rockies, and Plains. Critical fire weather is expected for portions of the Four Corners states and the Southern/Central High Plains through the next few days, and Red Flag Warnings are in effect. The upper-level ridge in between the two troughs should help cause hot temperatures across the Plains through early next week, with temperatures in the 90s as far north as South Dakota. Tate Graphics available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php