Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 347 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020 Valid 00Z Sat Jul 11 2020 - 00Z Mon Jul 13 2020 ...Tropical Storm Fay is forecast to make landfall tonight with heavy rainfall and gusty winds continuing through Saturday across parts of the Northeast... ...Strong to severe weather shifting across the Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley this weekend... ...Hot, potentially record breaking, temperatures expand across much of the Southern states and the Desert Southwest... Tropical Storm Fay, currently located just off the southern New Jersey coast is forecast to move northward and make landfall near New York City tonight. Gusty winds and heavy rainfall will extend into the Northeast this weekend, with rough surf and isolated tornadoes along the coast also possible through tonight. WPC highlights parts of eastern New York into the lower Great Lakes within a slight risk for excessive rainfall through Saturday. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for the latest on Fay. Showers and thunderstorms will continue along a second frontal boundary marching through the Ohio Valley this evening, eventually to merge with the remnants of Fay this weekend. A lingering threat for strong thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall will continue through tonight across parts of the Ohio Valley. Showers and storms will also continue across parts of the South this weekend associated with a wavy and nearly stationary frontal boundary. Another system pushing into the north-central Plains this afternoon will continue the threat for severe weather this evening across much of the Northern Plains where SPC highlights a slight to enhanced risk. Showers and storms will continue associated with this system as it drops southeastward into the Mississippi Valley/Midwest Saturday into Sunday. The best chance for strong to severe thunderstorms should be within the vicinity of the surface low, across parts of the lower to middle Mississippi Valley on Saturday. Moderate to locally heavy rainfall is also possible within stronger thunderstorms. Expansive upper level ridging will keep hot and above normal temperatures in place across much of the South. Temperatures from western Texas to the Desert Southwest may approach records for at least the next two days (and likely beyond), as temperatures soar above the century mark each afternoon. Above normal temperatures are also likely across much of the interior West and parts of the East Coast states. Heat advisories are in effect across much of the Southern Plains/Lower Mississippi Valley, with excessive heat warnings spanning the Desert Southwest. Santorelli Graphics available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php