Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
259 AM EST Sun Feb 06 2022

Valid 12Z Sun Feb 06 2022 - 12Z Tue Feb 08 2022

...Light snow possible in parts of the Great Lakes today and into Monday...

...An organizing storm system off the East Coast to bring rain to the
Mid-Atlantic coast, snow and and icy wintry mix to parts of the
Northeast...

...Taste of early Spring in the northern and central Plains, high winds
possible in Montana...

The most unsettled weather in the continental U.S. to close out the
weekend and kickoff the upcoming work-week will be across the Great Lakes
and along the East Coast. Today, a weak wave of low pressure tracking
across the Great Lakes will produce light snow accumulations in the
northern tier of the Great Lakes. Off the Southeast coast, a new area of
low pressure is forecast to form along a quasi-stationary front off today.
Spotty showers will be common from central Florida on north to the
Carolina coast today into Monday. A wintry mix forming Sunday night into
Monday could lead to light ice accumulations in the North and South
Carolina Piedmont and foothills. As the storm begins to move north along
the coast tonight and into Monday, another area of icy wintry mix may
develop from the urban I-95 corridor in the northern Mid-Atlantic to
southern New England, just in time to potentially lead to treacherous
driving conditions for the Monday evening rush hour. The coastal low is
set to deepen off the Mid-Atlantic coast Monday night and track north and
east, leading to a swath of snow across central and eastern New England
Monday night into Tuesday morning. Interests in New England will want to
keep an eye on the forecast in the coming days with the best chances for
snow totals exceeding 4 inches in the state of Maine. The immediate
coastal areas are most likely to witness more rain than snow.

The remainder of the Lower 48 is expected to see mostly dry conditions
thanks to an expansive area of high pressure throughout the West.
Temperature-wise, parts of the northern and central Plains get a taste of
more March-like temperatures while seasonally mild conditions persist
along the West Coast. Meanwhile, farther east, a bitterly cold Sunday
morning in the Northeast eventually warms to more seasonal levels by
Monday. The coldest temperature anomalies over the next couple days are
centered in the South where chilly daytime highs will be common. To the
northwest, an upper level disturbance tracking into western Canada early
Monday races south and east into the North Central U.S. Monday afternoon.
This trough will result in a resurgence in strong winds across Montana,
leading to the issuance of High Wind Watches for parts of the state on
Monday.

Mullinax

Graphics are available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php