Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
357 PM EDT Wed Mar 30 2022

Valid 00Z Thu Mar 31 2022 - 00Z Sat Apr 02 2022

...Severe thunderstorms and excessive rainfall threat possible through
Friday morning...

...Heavy snow over the Upper Great Lakes and widespread rain/freezing rain
from parts of the Great Lakes to Central Appalachians/Northern New
England...

...Multiple areas with a Critical Risk of fire weather over parts of the
Southern Plains, Ohio/Tennessee Valley, and parts of the Florida Peninsula
today...

Very strong/severe thunderstorms are tracking through the
Lower/Mid-Mississippi Valley/Ohio and Tennessee Valleys today ahead of an
advancing cold front and are capable of producing strong wind gusts, hail,
heavy rainfall and possibly a few tornadoes. SPC has highlighted much of
the Deep South to south of Lake Michigan as having up to a Moderate Risk
for severe weather. WPC has identified part of this same region as having
a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall and local flash flooding concerns;
particularly urban areas, roads, and small streams being the most
vulnerable. The area of thunderstorms will progress over the East through
Thursday, thus shifting the areas of concern for severe weather and
flooding over the eastern U.S. Although the rainfall may be excessive for
some locations, overall it will be beneficial to those areas that have
been very dry of late and have elevated/critical risk for the spread of
wildfires. Parts of the Southern Plains, Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and
Florida have gusty winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels. The
wetting rains will reduce the risk to just Florida by Thursday.

Rain and snow over parts of the Northern Plains/Upper Mississippi Valley
today will continue to progress to the east. An area of light
rain/freezing rain will develop over a wide area from the Upper Great
Lakes and parts of the Central Appalachians Wednesday into Thursday
morning. Snow and rain/freezing rain is expected to continue over parts of
northern New England into Thursday morning. A multiple-day heavy snow
event is forecast for northern Michigan near Lake Superior and for parts
of the Ohio Valley on Thursday. The snow will slowly decrease over parts
of the Northeast and Central Appalachians.

Campbell


Graphics are available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php