Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
407 PM EDT Sat Jun 04 2022

Valid 00Z Sun Jun 05 2022 - 00Z Tue Jun 07 2022

...Heavy rainfall threat will continue to diminish across South Florida
and the Keys this evening...

...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the
central Plains into early next week...

...Widespread precipitation expected across the Northwest and the northern
Rockies through the remainder of the weekend...

The tropical disturbance that brought very heavy rainfall to portions of
southern Florida is expected to track east of the peninsula this evening. 
As the system moves east, the threat for heavy rainfall will continue to
diminish across South Florida and the Keys.

While drier weather is expected across Florida, more widespread unsettled
weather is anticipated across the central into the southern Plains. 
Showers and thunderstorms developing later this afternoon into the evening
along a slow-moving, east-west oriented front over Nebraska and ahead of a
dryline extending along the southern High Plains may become strong to
severe.  Very large hail, damaging winds, and a couple of tornadoes are
possible within these storms.  In addition to damaging wind and hail,
heavy rainfall resulting in isolated flash flooding, is also possible.

With little expected change in the overall pattern, the threat for strong
to severe storms is expected to return to portions of the central Plains
tomorrow and then once again on Monday, with damaging wind gusts and large
hail expected to be the primary hazards.

Across the Northwest and northern Rockies, a Pacific front will move
across the region.  Deep moisture ahead of the front is expected to
support widespread precipitation across the region, with a greater threat
for heavy amounts expected along the Northwest coast into the western
slopes of the Cascades late today and through tomorrow.  While lighter
amounts are generally expected east of the Cascades into the northern
Rockies, locally heavy amounts may occur.  These rains may result in
localized flash flooding concerns, especially across burn scar areas.

Across the Southwest, dry and breezy conditions will persist, resulting in
another day of elevated fire weather concerns across parts of southern
Arizona, New Mexico, and West Texas.

Pereira

Graphics are available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php