Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
340 PM EDT Tue Jun 07 2022

Valid 00Z Wed Jun 08 2022 - 00Z Fri Jun 10 2022

...There is an Enhanced Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the
Central Plains and a Slight Risk over parts of the Lower
Mississippi/Tennessee Valleys through tonight...

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the
Central/Southern Plains and the Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley as well as
over parts of southeastern Florida through this evening...

...Record high temperatures across portions of southern Texas; West begins
to warm up...

A digging shortwave trough over the Northern/Central Plains will
contribute to the development of scattered to isolated showers and
thunderstorm activity up and down much of the Plains tonight. A surface
front draped along the Central Plains and Middle Mississippi Valley will
become the focus for severe thunderstorms and flash flooding. Severe
storms capable of producing very large hail and destructive wind gusts are
possible. A cold front extending across the Northeast and Ohio/Tennessee
Valleys will generate additional scattered showers and thunderstorms this
evening over much of Arkansas and western Tennessee before becoming the
focus for severe weather over parts of the Lower
Mississippi/Tennessee/Ohio Valleys on Wednesday. A Slight Risk of severe
thunderstorms is in effect for these areas due to the threat of locally
damaging winds and hail.

Upper troughing over the eastern Gulf of Mexico will aid in the
development of heavy rainfall in southeastern Florida tonight. The
Miami-West Palm Beach corridor is particularly sensitive to the rainfall
due to the recent damage caused by Tropical Storm Alex which is why a
Slight Risk of excessive rainfall is in effect for that area. Scattered to
isolated showers and thunderstorms will redevelop over the
Northern/Central Plains and Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley on Thursday
and Friday. Additional severe weather capable of producing large hail and
intense, damaging wind gusts is likely to develop across much of Kansas,
southern Nebraska and northern Oklahoma where a Slight Risk of severe
thunderstorms was issued by the Storm Prediction Center.

Record warmth in Texas will retreat to the southeastern portion of the
state on Wednesday, where highs are likely to hover around 100 degrees.
High pressure will build over the West leading to anomalously warm
temperatures across much of the Southwest and Great Basin heading into the
weekend.

Kebede



Graphics are available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php