Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
335 PM EDT Fri Jul 01 2022

Valid 00Z Sat Jul 02 2022 - 00Z Mon Jul 04 2022


...Wet weather, isolated Flash Flooding and Severe thunderstorms possible
across the Southeast quarter of the nation and from the Central to
Northern Plains into the Northern Rockies, Northwest and from portions of
the Southwest into the Southern Rockies...

...Cooler than average temperature expected from the West Coast inland
through the Great Basin and Northern Rockies, while warmer than average
temperatures are expected from the Plains into the Ohio and Tennessee
Valleys and Great Lakes...


...Fire Weather conditions will continue across the Great Basin this
weekend...


It is expected to be a fairly active thunderstorm pattern across large
areas of the Lower 48 over the Independence Day holiday weekend in the
vicinity of a surface frontal boundary stretching nearly from coast to
coast.   This frontal boundary will be the focus for thunderstorms over
the next few days, with locally heavy rains, isolated flash flooding and
severe thunderstorms possible.  However, much of this expected
precipitation over the next few days will not be falling across areas of
the west that are mired in extreme to exceptional long term drought
conditions.  One exception to this will be over portions of the Southwest
into the Southern Rockies where monsoonal thunderstorm activity is
expected to continue.

The expected continued dry conditions across the west will also support a
wild fire threat across these areas.  The greatest threat will be across
the Great Basin, stretching across much of Nevada, western Utah and
northwest Arizona.

A strong cold front forming across the western U.S. on Saturday will be
pushing inland into the Great Basin and Northern Rockies Sunday into
Monday.  Much cooler temperatures expected behind this front with high
temperatures 10 or more degrees below average along the immediate west
coast on Saturday and spreading across the Great Basin and Northern
Rockies Sunday into Monday.  Below average temperatures also expected over
the next two days in areas of active showers and thunderstorms from the
Southwest, Southern Rockies and across much of the southeast quarter of
the nation.   Warmer than average temperatures expected over the next few
days through much of the Plains into the Ohio Valley, Tennessee Valley and
Lower Great Lakes.  However, few if any record highs or lows are expected
through the holiday weekend across the Lower 48.


Oravec

Graphics are available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php