Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
346 AM EDT Tue Aug 30 2022

Valid 12Z Tue Aug 30 2022 - 12Z Thu Sep 01 2022

...Slight risk of excessive rainfall across part of Texas on Tuesday...

...Showers and thunderstorms, locally heavy, likely across the Northeast,
Mid Atlantic, and Florida/the Gulf Coast...

...Prolonged and record heat wave builds over the West this week...

A cold front into the East will be a focus for showers and thunderstorms
on Tuesday from the Northeast southward to the Tennessee Valley and
central Gulf Coast states. Locally heavy rainfall and strong to severe
thunderstorms are possible. Ahead of the front, daytime temperatures into
the lower 90s are forecast across the East on Tuesday, with widespread
record warm overnight temperatures this morning and again Wednesday
morning for many locations. Rain may linger into Wednesday along the Gulf
Coast and especially Florida as the cold front sags southward into the
region. Present weak upper disturbances and abundant tropical moisture
interacting with the western portion of the front dropping into Texas
should create a more enhanced potential for heavy to excessive rainfall
Tuesday into Wednesday. WPC has highlighted parts of west-central Texas in
a slight risk on the day 1 (Tuesday) ERO.

A prolonged and possibly record heat wave looks to build this week as
strong upper level ridging over the West supports widespread and well
above normal temperatures. Daytime temperatures are forecast to climb well
into the 90s or lower 100s for many on Wednesday and especially Thursday,
with little relief expected overnight. Widespread record highs and warm
overnight lows are likely across much of the Northwest and Great Basin.
Excessive heat watches have been hoisted for portions of the interior
California Valley. Temperatures could exceed 110F in parts of the
Southwest, where an excessive heat warning is currently in effect.

Santorelli

Graphics are available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php