Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
302 PM EST Sun Nov 13 2022

Valid 00Z Mon Nov 14 2022 - 00Z Wed Nov 16 2022

...Lake-effect snow downwind from the Great Lakes Sunday night into
Monday...

...Light snow from the Southern High Plains to the Upper Midwest Monday
evening into Tuesday...

...There are Winter Weather Advisories across parts of the Central Plains
for Monday...

Upper-level energy over the Northeast will move into Southeastern Canada
by Monday morning. As the energy departs, lake-effect snow downwind from
Lakes Superior, Michigan, Huron, Erie, and Ontario ends late Sunday night.
The energy will also produce light rain over parts of the Northeast,
ending overnight Sunday. Light snow will also develop over parts of
Northern New England, ending by Monday afternoon. The snow will result in
reduced visibility and hazardous driving conditions.

Meanwhile, a second area of upper-level energy over the Southern
California/Southwest will move northeastward to the Ohio Valley by
Tuesday, inducing a front along the Central Gulf Coast into the Southeast.
The energy will produce light snow over parts of the Great Basin, starting
overnight Sunday, that will move into parts of the Central/Southern
Rockies by Monday morning. On Monday, snow will develop over parts of the
Central/Southern Plains, moving into the Middle Mississippi Valley
overnight Monday and into parts of the Ohio Valley by Tuesday evening. The
snow has prompted Winter Weather Advisories across parts of the Central
Plains for Monday.

Moreover, as the energy moves out of the Rockies, moisture from the
Western Gulf of Mexico will stream northward over the Southern Plains on
Monday afternoon producing showers and thunderstorms over parts of the
Southern Plains, moving into the Lower Mississippi Valley overnight
Monday. On Tuesday morning, rain will develop over parts of the Ohio
Valley, expanding into parts of the Mid-Atlantic by Tuesday evening. In
addition, showers and thunderstorms will begin to develop over parts of
the Southeast on Tuesday afternoon.

On Monday, a third area of upper-level energy will produce light snow over
parts of the Upper Midwest. Furthermore, additional upper-level energy
will move southward from West-Central Canada into the Northern High Plains
on Monday afternoon. As a result, the energy produces light snow over
parts of the Northern High/Northern Plains on Monday afternoon. On Monday,
the light snow continues over parts of the Northern Plains/Upper
Mississippi Valley that will expand into parts of the Great Lakes/Ohio
Valley on Tuesday. The snow will result in reduced visibility and
hazardous driving conditions.

Ziegenfelder



 
Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php