Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
400 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2023

Valid 00Z Wed Sep 13 2023 - 00Z Fri Sep 15 2023

...Cool, wet weather with heavy rainfall and flooding possible from the
Southwest to the Southern Plains...

...More heavy rain and possible flooding expected across the Northeast....

...Dangerous surf and rip current conditions developing along the East
Coast...

...Frost Advisories in effect over portions of the Upper Midwest...


Remnant moisture from Jova will spread across the Southwest and Southern
Plains over the next couple of days. Shortwave energy swinging through the
Intermountain West and a surface front oriented north-south across the
Southern Plains will interact with the tropical moisture to produce
scattered showers and thunderstorm activity across the region over the
next couple of days. Some instances of Flash Flooding are possible over
eastern Arizona into much of central New Mexico tonight, where a Slight
Risk of Excessive Rainfall is in effect. The greatest threat of flash
flooding shifts east into eastern New Mexico and western/central Texas
where a stationary front will act as a focus for strong convection and
potentially intense rainfall rates. Another Slight Risk of Excessive
Rainfall leading to Flash Flooding is in effect for that area on Wednesday
and continuing into Thursday.

A slow moving cold front will act as a focus for scattered showers and
thunderstorms across the Eastern third of the country through Thursday.


Kebede

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php