Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
409 AM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

Valid 12Z Thu Sep 14 2023 - 12Z Sat Sep 16 2023

....As Lee continues to track north, tropical storm conditions are
possible across a large portion of coastal New England beginning Friday
night...

...Life-threatening storm surge flooding possible in portions of
southeastern Massachusetts beginning late Friday...

...Unsettled weather, with heavy rain and strong storms possible, to
continue into the weekend over the southern Plains...

Hurricane Lee will continue to track north over the next couple of days,
moving west of Bermuda late today and early Friday, before tracking east
of southern New England on Saturday.  Due to the large size of the system,
hazards will extend well away from the center.  This includes tropical
storm conditions which are possible in portions of coastal New England,
including Cape Cod, Nantucket, Martha's Vineyard, and Block Island
beginning Friday night.  By early Saturday, tropical storm conditions are
expected to reach as far north as Down East Maine.  As the storm tracks
north, there is the potential for life-threatening storm surge flooding in
portions of southeastern Massachusetts, including Cape Cod and Nantucket
late Friday and Saturday.  Swells generated by lee continue to affect much
of the East Coast -- producing life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.

A series of upper level disturbances interacting with a moist atmosphere
will continue to produce rounds of showers and thunderstorms from eastern
New Mexico, across much of Texas, and portions of Oklahoma.  Heavy
rainfall amounts are possible and flooding may occur especially across any
areas where multiple rounds of storms develop.  Isolated strong to severe
storms, producing damaging wind and hail are also possible.

Farther north, a cold front accompanied by showers and thunderstorms will
advance east from the northern Plains into the upper Great Lakes, while
sagging south through the central Plains and Rockies.  Heavy rainfall
amounts are possible, especially for portions of the central Rockies,
which may result in localized flooding.

Pereira  

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php