Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
335 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2023

Valid 00Z Fri Sep 15 2023 - 00Z Sun Sep 17 2023

...Lee continues tracking north, tropical storm and hurricane conditions
possible for coastal New England Friday and Saturday...

...Life-threatening storm surge flooding possible in portions of
southeastern Massachusetts beginning late Friday...

...Heavy rain and strong storms likely to continue into the weekend over
the Southern Plains...

Hurricane Lee is tracking west of Bermuda this afternoon and will continue
to track north through Saturday. As Lee approaches coastal New England,
conditions will deteriorate and become hazardous by Friday night. Due to
the large size of the system, hazards will extend a well away from the
center. Hurricane conditions and coastal flooding are possible in portions
of eastern Maine, southern New Brunswick, and western Nova Scotia on
Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are expected on Cape Cod, Martha's
Vineyard, and Nantucket beginning Friday night and will be possible
elsewhere across New England and Atlantic Canada. Heavy rainfall from Lee
may produce localized urban and small stream flooding across eastern New
England and portions of New Brunswick and Nova Scotia Friday night through
Saturday night. Life-threatening storm surge flooding will also be
possible in portions of southeastern Massachusetts, including Cape Cod and
Nantucket, late Friday and Saturday. Swells generated by Lee will continue
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the East
Coast. Lee is forecast to curve to the northeast on Sunday and track away
from the United States.

Elsewhere, unsettled weather will continue across portions of the Central
and Southern Plains through at least Saturday. Multiple rounds of showers
and thunderstorms will result in locally heavy rainfall that could cause
isolated to scattered instances of Flash flooding. The highest risk of
flooding will be in Central Texas on Friday where there is a Slight Risk
of Excessive Rainfall. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will also
be possible over the Southern High Plains and Central Texas Friday and
Friday night, and strong storms will have the potential to produce
damaging winds and hail.

As a cold front progresses eastwards, showers and thunderstorms will be
possible across the Upper Midwest into the Great Lakes region through the
weekend. A separate front will also remain nearly stationary over the
northern Gulf Coast and Florida, producing daily thunderstorm chances
across the Southeast.


Dolan  

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php