Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
244 AM EST Tue Nov 07 2023

Valid 12Z Tue Nov 07 2023 - 12Z Thu Nov 09 2023

...Cooler temperatures and beneficial precipitation expected through
midweek across the northern tier states...

...Very warm weather including some record high temperatures can be
expected along with dry conditions for much of the Central and Eastern
U.S. through the middle of the week...

...Some rain to begin impacting parts of the South by Thursday...


Upper troughing moving across the northern tier will bring unsettled
weather across the region over the next couple of days. An upper trough
propagating through the West-Central U.S. will allow for the advection of
cool Pacific air into the West over the next few days. In addition to the
below average temperatures, scattered rain/snow showers will occur from
the Pacific Northwest to the Northern Rockies today. Snow will likely
remain confined to the highest elevations of the Cascades and Northern
Rockies. High pressure builds over the West on Wednesday, which should
bring an end to any lingering precipitation.

Diffluence associated with the aforementioned upper trough will generate
light mixed precipitation from the Northern Plains to the Northeast over
the next couple of days. Mixed precip over the Northern Plains today
should shift into the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes tonight before arriving
over the Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes on Wednesday. By Thursday a
deep mid-latitude cyclone will have developed over the Midwest and will
spread showers and isolated thunderstorms into the interior Northeast.
Showers and thunderstorms will also develop along the attendant cold front
over the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley by then. Cool air
filters into the Upper Midwest and Northeast on the backside of the low
pressure system.

Elsewhere, snow showers will spread south across the Colorado Rockies on
Wednesday into Thursday morning. Dry and windy conditions over the
Southern High Plains of eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle will
support a Critical Risk of Fires today. Southerly flow across the Central
and Southeastern U.S. will produce anomalous warmth for much of the Great
Plains to the East Coast before the cold front sweeps through on Thursday.
Many places from the Southern Plains to the Central/Southern Appalachians
may experience record high temperatures today and Wednesday.


Kebede

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php