Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
300 AM EST Thu Nov 09 2023

Valid 12Z Thu Nov 09 2023 - 12Z Sat Nov 11 2023

...Warm to record breaking temperatures from Southern Plains to
Mid-Atlantic today will give way to cooler conditions beginning tonight...

...Post-frontal showers and thunderstorms develop across Southern Plains
and Lower Mississippi Valley...

...Storm system brings rain and snow to the Northwest beginning this
afternoon...

...Critical Risk of Fires over parts of Southern California today...

Troughing over the Central U.S. will support the development of a
mid-latitude cyclone over the Northeast today. The attendant cold front
extends from the interior Northeast back down to the Southern High Plains.
Scattered to isolated showers and thunderstorms are likely to develop
around and behind this cold front today, especially over the Southern
Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley. Rain and snow showers will continue
from the Northern Plains through the Great Lakes and into the Northeast
today. Pockets of freezing rain may occur over parts of the Northern
Appalachians this morning. The rain and thunderstorms shift south into the
Texas/Central Gulf Coast on Friday and Saturday as the cold front works
its way through the Southeast.

An axis of above normal temperatures extending from the Southern Plains to
the Mid-Atlantic will soon be washed away by the approaching cold front
this afternoon and evening. In the meantime, high temperatures in the 70s
and 80s will be 15-25 degrees above normal. Many parts of the the
Southeast, Southern/Central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic will experience
near or record breaking high temperatures today. Temperatures will fall
drastically on the backside of the cold front over the Southern High
Plains today, with highs in the 40s to low 50s representing a 15-25 degree
departure from normal. This is expected to continue into Friday as well
while high pressure builds over the Central CONUS. Temperatures fall well
below average across the East Coast this Veterans Day weekend.

A series of low pressure systems will bring low elevation rain and
mountain snow to the Northwest beginning this afternoon. Anywhere between
1-2 feet of snow are expected for the northern Cascades, while much
lighter amounts are likely across the Northern Rockies over the next 2
days. Elsewhere, a Critical Fire Weather area was introduced over parts of
Southern California including Ventura and Los Angeles Counties. The
greatest risk of fires will be late this morning into early this afternoon
when wind gusts of over 50mph and the driest conditions will occur.


Kebede


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php