Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
213 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2023

Valid 12Z Thu Dec 14 2023 - 12Z Sat Dec 16 2023

...Moderate to heavy snow and below average temperatures likely over
portions of the Southern Rockies/High Plains through early Friday
morning...

...Increasing Excessive Rainfall concerns over Florida...

...Northern tier and West warm up...


A low pressure system beneath a digging upper trough will continue to
produce snow over the mountains of southern Colorado and northern New
Mexico as well as portions of the Texas/Oklahoma panhandles today.
Anywhere between 4-8 inches of additional snow are expected through early
Friday morning when the system is expected to move east. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms are likely to spread from eastern and southern New
Mexico east through western and central Texas/Oklahoma today. The low
pressure system spreads more showers and thunderstorms into east
Texas/Oklahoma and the western Gulf Coast on Friday. High temperatures
will be below average across the Central/Southern High Plains today and
tomorrow due to the aforementioned winter weather and associated cloud
cover.

Meanwhile, a quasi-stationary front draped across southern Florida will be
the focus for showers and thunderstorms throughout the region beginning
this afternoon. The excessive rainfall threat will increase each day
culminating in a heavy rain event across the state on Saturday. There's an
unusual amount of model uncertainty with this system due to the lack of
agreement regarding the evolution of the upper-level pattern over the
central U.S. over the next 48 hours. High pressure on both sides of the
upper trough will support a warming trend for the West and northern tier
of the country over the next few days.


Kebede


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php