Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
135 AM EST Mon Jan 08 2024

Valid 12Z Mon Jan 08 2024 - 12Z Wed Jan 10 2024

...A Major Storm will produce widespread, significant impacts over much of
the U.S. this week...

...A Major Winter Storm will bring several feet of snow to the Washington
and Oregon Cascades through Tuesday...


A deep and dynamic mid-latitude cyclone will organize over the
Central/Southern Plains this morning. Snow will develop in the Plains
today and advance into the Midwest tonight and Tuesday. Bursts of heavy
snow may accumulate up to two inches in an hour, and result in hazardous
travel. A heavy, wet snow will also develop in the interior Northeast
Tuesday afternoon and night. A blizzard is expected in the Plains of
northeast New Mexico, eastern Colorado, the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles,
western Kansas and southwest Nebraska. Wind gusts as high as 60-70 mph
will create ferocious blizzard conditions with whiteouts. Travel will
become extremely dangerous to impossible. If you must travel, pack a
winter survival kit as wind chills will plummet below zero.

There is an Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms across the central Gulf
Coast tonight into early Tuesday morning. Severe thunderstorms capable of
producing strong wind gusts and tornadoes are expected from southeast
Texas across the central Gulf Coast this afternoon into early Tuesday
morning. This Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms shifts into parts of
southeastern Alabama, northern Florida and parts of the Carolina
Piedmont/Coastal Plain on Tuesday. Very strong and damaging winds as well
as a few tornadoes will be the main threats.

Widespread and potentially significant river and flash flooding are likely
for the central Gulf Coast and Eastern U.S. through early Wednesday.
Powerful onshore winds will lead to widespread coastal flooding along the
eastern Gulf Coast and much of the East Coast. Significant coastal
flooding is likely, especially on the Mid-Atlantic coastline, including
tidal rivers and bays. There's a Moderate Risk of Excessive Rainfall
leading to Flash Flooding over parts of southeast Louisiana, southern
Mississippi and southwestern Alabama today where several inches of
rainfall may accumulate. The Moderate Risk of Excessive Rainfall shifts
into the Mid-Atlantic on Tuesday between northern Virginia, up the I-95
corridor and into western Massachusetts, where existing snowpack from the
recent snowstorm may cause additional runoff concerns. Widespread wind
gusts in excess of 50 mph are likely in the eastern Gulf Coast, Central
Appalachians, much of the East Coast and New England. Prepare for power
outages.

Elsewhere, yet another pair of powerful winter storm systems will cross
the Pacific Northwest tonight and Tuesday night with several feet of heavy
snow and strong winds expected across the Cascades. Blizzard conditions
are likely. Snow levels rise to around 5000' tonight with an atmospheric
river, but will quickly fall to between 1500 and 2500 feet behind a cold
front on Tuesday, leading to considerable impacts for many mountain passes
with the second storm Tuesday night. Over a foot of snow is likely
(70-90%) in the higher elevations of the Northern Rockies on Tuesday and
Wednesday.


Kebede


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php