Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 755 AM EST Thu Jan 25 2024 Valid 12Z Thu Jan 25 2024 - 12Z Sat Jan 27 2024 ...Flash Flooding and Severe Weather concerns continue for portions of the Southern Plains, Gulf Coast, Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast... ...Freezing rain impacts possible over parts of southern Maine/central New England... ...Unseasonably warm air surges into the eastern third of the country, leading to widespread record warm minimum temperatures Friday morning... A shortwave trough crossing the central U.S. will support repeated rounds of convection across the southern tier. Some of these storms will have the potential to become severe today across the Gulf states and Southeast. Scattered to widespread heavy rain will be the main hazard given the influx of anomalous moisture and significant instability into the region. A Slight Risk (level 2/4) of Excessive Rainfall leading to Flash Flooding is in effect for portions of Louisiana to western portions of North Carolina, where the confluence of moisture, instability and lift along the surface front will be greatest. The primary Flash Flood risk pivots into parts of the Southeast and Southern Appalachians while remaining over the central Gulf Coast. The Severe threat remains for the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast. The anomalous moisture mentioned above with continue to spread into the Northeast ahead of the approaching low pressure system over the Ohio Valley. Rain showers in the warm sector are likely for much of the Northeast and Lower Great Lakes tonight while freezing rain gets going over parts of Vermont, New Hampshire and southern Maine. Freezing rain accumulations aren't expected to eclipse 0.1". Light snow will occur over central and northern Maine. Conditions should improve by Thursday afternoon for the Northeast. Unseasonably warm temperatures will overspread the East Coast and portions of the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Low temperature anomalies on Friday morning could be well over 30 degrees above average, which could lead to widespread records being broken for Friday morning. These records are most likely to stand as record-setting in the Southeast, but farther north, cooling temperatures before midnight Friday evening may spoil the warm low temperature records. Elsewhere, low pressure in the West will produce snow showers over the Cascades, Sierra and Rockies over the next couple of days. New accumulations of 4 to 6 + inches are possible today and into Friday - a few isolated areas may exceed 8 inches. Campbell/Kebede Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php