Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 403 AM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025 Valid 12Z Sun Apr 13 2025 - 12Z Tue Apr 15 2025 ...Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions are forecast today across portions of the southern and northern Plains ... ...There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Ohio Valley, Appalachians, and the Mid-Atlantic region on Monday... ...A cold front will drop temperatures across the Midwest and East Coast early this week, while the West continues to remain warm... The fire weather threat will remain in the Critical category across portions of the Southwest and southern Great Plains. Ahead of the cold front moving in the region, wind gust around 20 mph and low relative humidities will create favorable conditions for fire ignition and spread. The northern Plains of Nebraska and South Dakota have a Elevated fire weather risk as gusty post-frontal winds and low relative humidity will be present. The Elevated fire weather risk looks to remain on Monday across portions of Kansas, Nebraska, and South Dakota with similar meteorological parameters present. Thunderstorms are expected to form Monday across the Ohio Valley, Appalachians, and portions of the Mid-Atlantic ahead of a cold front associated with a deepening storm system across the Great Lakes region. The Storm Prediction Center has a Slight Risk for severe weather from eastern Kentucky to western Pennsylvania. Hazards include a couple of tornadoes, scattered damaging winds, and large hail. Flooding impacts are not expected as the storms will be quickly progressing ahead of the trough. A cold front moving southward across the Plains and West will bring an end to daily record warm high temperatures, but temperatures will quickly rebound to above average as mid-level ridging once more takes hold of the region. High temperature anomalies still look to be around 10-20 degrees warmer than expected for this time of the year. The Southwest region from California to Texas are expected to to reach the 80s and 90s in the early part of the week. The Great Basin and Pacific Northwest can expect to see high temperatures in the 60s to upper 70s except for towns in coastal areas or high terrain which will likely be cooler. A developing cyclone and associated cold front across the Great Lakes will bring another chilly air mass across the Midwest and East Coast. Expect high temperatures in the 30s and 40s across the upper Midwest on Monday and beginning to filter eastward by Tuesday as the cold front moves through. For the winter side, northern Maine could see some light snow accumulations as a low pressure off the Northeast continues to supply moisture today. Monday and Tuesday will see rain turn over to snow across northern Minnesota, northern Wisconsin, and the Upper Peninsula of Michigan on the back side of the low pressure. There are moderate chances for snow accumulations between 4-8 inches in favorable locations. Lake effect snowfall may also occur behind the cold front. Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php