Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 249 AM EDT Tue Jun 10 2025 Valid 12Z Tue Jun 10 2025 - 12Z Thu Jun 12 2025 ...Heavy to Excessive Rainfall likely across parts of Texas and Oklahoma... ...Record heat in the Northwest will ease a bit by midweek... A stationary frontal boundary draped west to east from the Southern Plains to the Southeast will be the focus for showers and thunderstorms the next several days. Anomalous moisture and instability pooling along this boundary will support daily heavy rainfall threats, particularly for parts of Texas and Oklahoma where WPC has highlighted slight risk areas on the Excessive Rainfall Outlooks. Flash flooding will be a concern, particularly in urban areas but also where it has been wet recently. The Storm Prediction Center targets west Texas with a slight risk for severe weather. To the north, showers and storms will accompany a cold front through the Northeast on Tuesday, with a localized heavy to excessive rainfall threat for interior New England. Elsewhere, a system moving through the Northern tier will support moderate to heavy rainfall, especially over eastern Montana into Minnesota, with a marginal risk for flash flooding on Wednesday. Record heat will continue across the Northwest Tuesday, posing an increased risk for heat-related illnesses. Take precaution during the warmest part of the day. High temperatures will soar well into the 90s and low 100s over the interior and lower elevations away from the water. In addition, breezy conditions pose an increased fire weather risk. HeatRisk values will be Moderate over northern areas and major over the Southwest Deserts (Death Valley may near/exceed 120F). Extreme heat warnings are in effect through Tuesday for the lower elevations. The heat wave should moderate by Wednesday. Over the Northeast, clouds and showers on Tuesday will give way to drier and warmer weather thereafter as readings climb back into the 80s. Santorelli Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php