QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 540 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016 FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION VALID AUG 12/1200 UTC THRU AUG 15/1200 UTC REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR Day 1... Central Gulf Coast ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ...High Risk of Excessive Rainfall Continues Across Portions of the Central Gulf Coast... Abundant moisture remains in place across the Southeast, with the exceptionally anomalous 2.5-2.75+ inch PW values along the central Gulf Coast, including an observed 2.71" per the KLIX 00Z 08/12 RAOB. These values are between 3-4 standard deviations above the norm (approaching record values) per the SREF and GEFS. The best description of this system is that of a sheared inland tropical depression, as the upper high over the system has moseyed off to the TX/LA border, advecting north-northeast flow over the top of the system. The best analog is Tropical Depression Five (2010) during its second trip into the Gulf Coast. Given the deep high theta-e/moist profile for optimal warm rain processes (wet bulb zero heights a whopping 16,000 ft per the 00Z KLIX sounding), the threat for heavy tropical banding rains across this area will continue given the slow westward drift of the TUTT. WPC maintained a fairly large swath of areal-average QPF between 3-6" across eastern LA and southern MS. However, all of the higher-resolution CAMs indicate pockets of much higher amounts, 7-10+ inches between 12Z Fri-12Z Sat. Given the additional heavy rains over already saturated soils (low FFG values), WPC will maintain a fairly broad MODERATE and HIGH risk area in the day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook (ERO) over the central Gulf region -- similar to the day 2 ERO on Thursday. Central and Upper Mississippi Valley - Upper Great Lakes ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The anomalous rich moist profile with adequate deep-layer instability will pose a continued risk of excessive short-term rainfall rates during the new day 1 period (12Z Fri-12Z Sat). PW anomalies continue to be quite high on the western periphery of the broad SE ridge and ahead of the approaching trough currently across the northern High Plains -- as values of 2-2.3 inches is around 3 standard deviations above normal for mid August. As was noted yesterday, despite the rich moist profile and more than sufficient dynamical support ahead of the trough (broad-scale upper diffluence along with increasing right-entrance region upper jet forcing with time), the one limiting factor for widespread areal-average totals over 2 inches across portions of the central-upper MS Valley and into the upper Great Lakes will be the increasing forward propagation of convection with time later today. This as the upper trough and stronger westerly flow pushes across the area tonight, with the strengthening deep-layer shear and negative PW advection (tightening PW gradient along and west of the surface front) favoring a more progressive front and pre-frontal convection with time. Therefore, the main concern with this pattern during day 1 will be the potential for excessive short-term rainfall rates (to the tune of 2-4" per hour, as was observed on Thursday). WPC QPF featured a multi-model blend, weighted heavily toward some of the preferred high-res guidance (NSSL-WRF and WRF-ARW) in later periods as felt given the evolving pattern (height falls), the global guidance was too slow with the progression of the heavier rainfall overnight. However, again given the optimal PW environment, it should again be noted that the bulk of the high-res CAM guidance indicate isolated higher totals between 4-7+ inches. Central and Southern Rockies and High Plains ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Have maintained modest areal-average deterministic QPF over this region along the tail end of the cold front, on the back edge of the moisture gradient where the dynamical forcing is not expected to be as robust (weaker flow pattern aloft). Still, with the anomalous PW values in play (2-2.5 standard deviations above normal) along with generally modest instability (mixed layer capes 1000-2000 J/KG) and 850-700 mb frontogenesis and moisture flux, a marginal or more isolated threat for excessive rainfall will continue ahead of the cold front over these areas. DAYS 2/3... ...SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY... THE DISTURBANCE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY PUSH WEST...AND EVENTUALLY BEGIN TO BE PICKED UP BY THE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS. A HEAVY RAIN THREAT LIKELY CONTINUES INTO AT LEAST SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS LA. BY LATER SATURDAY THE MID LEVEL VORTICITY CENTER IS GENERALLY FORECAST TO BECOME LESS FOCUSED AND MORE STRUNG OUT AS IT BEGINS TO FEEL THE EFFECT OF THE TROUGH LIFTING TO THE NORTH. SOME DIFFERENCES WITH REGARDS TO HOW FAR WEST THE SYSTEM GETS AND THEN HOW QUICKLY IT BEGINS TO MOVE NORTH...WHICH END UP HAVING A PRETTY SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON QPF. OVERALL THE NAM AND GEM HANDLE THE MID/UPPER LEVEL ENERGY DIFFERENT THAN THE BEST CLUSTERING AND ARE THUS NOT PREFERRED. THE 0Z GFS IS THE FURTHEST WEST SOLUTION...AND THE SLOWEST TO BRING THE SYSTEM NORTH...RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL CROSS SOUTHERN LA. THE 0Z ECMWF AND UKMET ARE A BIT EAST AND QUICKER...AND WHILE STILL SIGNIFICANT...BOTH HAVE QPF MAGNITUDES ABOUT HALF THE MAGNITUDE OF THE GFS AND SHIFTED NORTH ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LA. OVERALL THE TREND APPEARS TO BE FOR A SLIGHTLY EAST AND QUICKER SOLUTION...WITH THE 0Z ECMWF PROBABLY CLOSEST TO THE CURRENT MODEL CONSENSUS. GIVEN SOME LINGERING UNCERTAINTY...WPC QPF STAYED CLOSE TO A BLEND OF THE 0Z GFS/ECMWF/UKMET...WHICH RESULTS IN A PRETTY BROAD 2-4" ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN LA. BASED ON RECENT TRENDS THINK THE GFS MAY VERY WELL BE A BIT TOO WET AND TOO FAR SOUTH. CURRENTLY WOULD EXPECT THE BEST THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED 4-7" AMOUNTS ON DAY 2 (12Z SAT-12Z SUN) TO FOCUS ACROSS CENTRAL LA. OPTED TO INTRODUCE A MODERATE RISK ON DAY 2 FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LA...WHERE THIS RAIN ON TOP OF WHAT FALLS TODAY WILL LIKELY CAUSE CONTINUED AREAS OF FLOOD CONCERN. HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS THIS WEEKEND. EXPECT AN AXIS OF STRONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE TO DEVELOP...WITH NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND A COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH THE PLAINS...AND SOUTHERLY FLOW OUT OF THE GULF ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. EXPECTING NEAR RECORD PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES TO POOL ALONG THIS CONVERGENCE AXIS OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS. THIS AXIS OF VERY HIGH MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO BE NEARLY STATIONARY. MEANWHILE EXPECT A FEW SUBTLE SHORTWAVES TO TRAVERSE THE AREA ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE PLAINS TROUGH...WITH THE AREA ALSO SEEING PERIODS OF INCREASED DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. THUS WOULD EXPECT PERIODS OF CONVECTION WITHIN THIS MOISTURE AXIS. CORFIDI VECTORS BECOME VERY LIGHT...SUGGESTING THAT NEARLY STATIONARY CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH ONLY A SLOW SOUTHWARD PUSH OF THE FRONT HELPING PROGRESS THINGS. THUS SEEMS LIKE A GOOD SETUP FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. OVERALL THE TREND HAS BEEN FOR SOUTHEASTWARD SHIFT IN THE QPF AXIS ACROSS TEXAS...WITH THIS TREND SEEN IN ALL THE DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE. THIS IS THE RESULT OF A QUICKER FRONTAL PROGRESSION AND A FURTHER EAST POSITION OF THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. GIVEN THE GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT AND CONSISTENT TREND...WPC ALSO SHIFTED QPF SOUTHEASTWARD. STILL SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE AXIS OF HIGHEST QPF...AND WPC GENERALLY FOLLOWED A CONSENSUS OF THE ECMWF/GFS/UKMET. AMOUNTS WERE KEPT ON THE CONSERVATIVE SIDE GIVEN THE LINGERING UNCERTAINTY. A SLIGHT RISK WAS MAINTAINED FOR DAY 2 AND ISSUED FOR DAY 3 ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS. THE SETUP DOES SEEM TO HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR AN EVENTUAL UPGRADE TO A MODERATE RISK WHEN CONFIDENCE IN THE EXACT LOCATION OF HIGHEST AMOUNTS INCREASES...SO WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR. ...MID MS VALLEY INTO THE OHIO VALLEY.... A PLUME OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITABLE WATER WILL EXTEND FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO NORTH INTO AR/MO AND PORTIONS OF THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS AXIS DOES NOT MOVE MUCH AT ALL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. PERIODIC ROUNDS OF CONVECTION ARE LIKELY ALONG THIS MOISTURE AXIS...WITH THE COMBINATION OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF AN UPPER JET PROVIDING THE SYNOPTIC SUPPORT FOR ASCENT. ALSO THE REMNANTS OF THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE OVER THE GULF IS EXPECTED TO BE FORCED NORTH ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AS WELL...ENHANCING THE CONVECTIVE THREAT. GIVEN THE STATIONARY MOISTURE AXIS...CONTINUED SYNOPTIC SUPPORT RESULTING IN SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD CONVECTION...STORM MOTIONS WITH A LARGE COMPONENT PARALLEL TO THE MOISTURE AXIS AND PWAT VALUES 2-3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL...A FLASH FLOOD THREAT LIKELY EXISTS. MODEL SPREAD INCREASES BY DAY 3...WITH DIFFERENCES IN HOW FAR WEST THE SHORTWAVE ENERGY OVER THE GULF GETS BEFORE BEING PULLED NORTH ALONG THE STALLED OUT BOUNDARY. THE NAM/GEM ARE THE FURTHEST EAST SOLUTIONS...AND APPEAR TO BE OUTSIDE THE BETTER CLUSTERING AND ARE THUS NOT PREFERRED. THE ECMWF/GFS/UKMET HAVE BEEN THE MORE CONSISTENT AND BETTER PERFORMING GUIDANCE WITH THIS SYSTEM. A CONSENSUS OF RECENT RUNS OF THESE MODELS SEEMS TO BE BEST REPRESENTED BY THE NEW 0Z ECMWF. THUS THINK THE GFS IS PROBABLY TOO FAR WEST AND SLOW WITH THE WAVE...RESULTING IN HIGHER QPF ACROSS EASTERN OK INTO WESTERN AR/MO. WPC THUS TRENDED THE DAY 3 QPF CLOSER TO THE 0Z ECMWF...ALTHOUGH GIVEN LINGERING UNCERTAINTY DID BLEND IN SOME OF THE 0Z GFS...ALONG WITH THE EVEN FURTHER NORTHEAST UKMET. A DAY 2 SLIGHT RISK WAS STRETCHED FROM SOUTHEAST MO INTO SOUTHWEST OH...FOLLOWING THE CONSENSUS POSITION FOR POTENTIAL TRAINING CONVECTION ON DAY 2. QPF AMOUNTS SHOULD INCREASE BY DAY 3 AS THE GULF COAST SHORTWAVE BEGINS TO MOVE NORTH INCREASING LIFT. HAVE THUS OPTED FOR A DAY 3 MODERATE RISK ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AR...SOUTHERN MO AND SOUTHWEST IL...WHERE 48 HOUR TOTALS OF 4-6"...LOCALLY HIGHER IS EXPECTED. SOME UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ON THE EXACT AXIS OF HIGHEST AMOUNTS...SO SOME SHIFTING OF THE MODERATE RISK AREA CAN BE EXPECTED. BUT AS OF NOW SOUTH CENTRAL TO SOUTHEAST MO AND SOUTHWEST IL APPEARS TO HAVE THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING FROM THIS EVENT THROUGH 12Z MONDAY. ...NORTHEAST... A PLUME OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL PWAT VALUES WILL STREAM ALONG/AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT INTO NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. STRONG LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE FRONT...COMBINED WITH UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION SHOULD ALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION LATER SATURDAY ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. OVERALL WOULD EXPECT STORMS TO BE PRETTY PROGRESSIVE. ALSO INSTABILITY REALLY DROPS OFF AS YOU HEAD NORTH...SO SOME QUESTION AS TO THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AVAILABLE TO PRODUCE HIGH RAINFALL RATES ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. HOWEVER THE VERY HIGH PWAT AIR (NEAR RECORD LEVELS) AND SYNOPTIC SUPPORT DOES SUGGEST AT LEAST SOME FLASH FLOOD RISK DOES EXIST. THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET ALL SHOW A SWATH AS HIGH AS 2-4" OF RAIN ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...WHICH PUSHED US OVER THE TOP ON DECIDING TO UPGRADE TO A DAY 2 SLIGHT RISK. AGAIN SOME UNCERTAINTY ON THE AXIS...AS LIKELY DEPENDENT ON HOW FAR NORTH THE INSTABILITY CAN MAKE IT. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF FUTURE SHIFTS END UP NUDGING THE QPF AND SLIGHT RISK AREA A BIT SOUTH INTO THE BETTER INSTABILITY...BUT WILL HAVE TO MONITOR. HURLEY/CHENARD Graphics available on the web at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml 24HR QP VT 13/12Z 0.01 459624 465632 468638 471643 477655 479661 479670 480677 482684 482698 486728 487742 487757 487764 486769 487783 486787 488792 489799 492804 503813 506815 509819 515827 519832 520834 521839 526852 530862 532874 535886 537893 538902 540916 542927 544933 545938 546952 546958 547965 547976 546985 544989 542992 539993 536995 531994 521989 506974 494962 490958 485956 477953 471953 467954 463955 459959 454964 448972 440985 429995 425997 420997 417992 414987 414982 415975 421963 426955 429952 430948 428948 425949 419952 412955 403959 398964 390978 386987 382995 381001 380007 380013 383013 391018 393023 399025 412026 417027 420032 431032 437032 441031 445037 447042 445046 438051 432054 427056 423056 416061 403068 396071 388073 380076 370072 360068 345066 341067 336067 330067 324067 320068 316071 318075 322078 338080 341083 343087 342093 340096 336097 332097 327097 325100 323105 323111 321115 318117 310120 308118 308121 310126 311128 309130 305130 296123 292119 288118 280120 276118 274114 271110 267108 255096 250091 245083 241078 238072 234064 230058 228047 229033 231021 231012 231006 233997 238993 241994 249998 257002 264006 272011 287018 300008 304003 309996 318977 323967 325962 326958 324955 320951 315951 306955 298958 288958 279958 272952 261940 259932 259920 258899 253874 253860 253854 254850 253845 253841 251839 247837 240832 238829 237823 235818 235815 237806 242799 247792 250790 255789 258789 260793 264798 263801 268801 276804 293809 0.01 293809 300811 307812 321814 324812 327808 331802 337793 343786 345783 348782 354782 353786 350797 350800 353801 365799 375788 383779 387771 390764 393759 395752 398744 399740 399737 397736 392739 387735 381730 380728 381724 380715 381707 380685 379670 399650 412640 0.01 560073 561059 559047 556039 552036 541032 528031 520030 518032 513032 506031 501024 494018 487017 483017 483020 479029 477039 476050 474058 472065 469070 465076 460079 456077 453075 447069 442067 436069 422088 424096 426100 424104 421108 425113 437113 444114 446116 448121 448125 450129 452132 456133 458135 460134 465131 470129 478129 481131 483133 486134 487137 492143 497150 504162 512170 517174 523178 526178 530176 532173 531169 531164 530160 527153 520141 515129 502099 499086 499081 501079 505073 508071 512072 518078 523081 530083 542085 548085 553083 560073 0.01 450090 450087 450085 449083 448082 447081 446081 444080 444079 443078 441078 439077 437078 437081 437083 439085 439086 440088 441089 442089 443090 445091 446092 447093 448092 448091 450090 0.01 377855 376849 374846 368842 366840 363841 355842 351844 349846 348850 349855 351864 354870 359876 362878 366877 372873 374864 376857 377855 0.25 550061 549057 546055 543056 541057 538058 537059 533061 532064 535066 536067 539068 542068 544067 546066 549063 550061 0.25 537963 537957 537952 536945 533931 532923 530917 526907 521895 515887 509877 505867 502860 499861 498864 498878 498886 497892 493902 488905 486911 485916 484924 487930 491934 497940 512953 526966 534966 537963 0.25 475695 474680 472674 469669 465657 462642 459638 456637 450642 445649 443657 437676 435681 430687 424691 421695 419699 419707 418715 416725 415731 415737 410746 406756 403760 402763 403773 402778 399781 394786 390791 384794 380799 377806 376810 378813 387810 391810 393811 396821 397827 397834 397841 395847 388867 385876 380884 371896 360906 354911 349910 347908 340896 336891 331888 325883 321873 318863 314852 307836 306831 306827 305823 303821 271812 265809 259808 256809 255813 259819 266822 275825 294830 298836 300839 300845 295853 292860 290868 287875 279890 277896 276903 276913 277921 281930 286937 294941 299942 306941 315940 320939 324937 337931 344927 348926 348930 341947 335960 329971 311006 309013 305021 299025 296027 293031 295040 296044 298046 305047 312050 325055 334056 341053 346054 350056 355056 358057 361056 364052 368051 375052 379054 387053 390052 391047 388045 383044 372042 369041 366039 361033 359022 360015 365998 369985 373976 378967 383960 390952 414932 427925 431920 434915 443899 446891 448884 450873 451860 456835 460816 462805 465795 472780 473773 474763 474720 475695 0.25 460932 459930 457929 456930 455931 454932 453932 452933 450935 449937 448937 449938 450940 452940 454938 455937 457936 458935 459934 460932 0.25 306096 308088 307081 304073 298065 293058 289054 285052 278048 269042 261039 252034 248033 243034 241035 241039 242045 238051 239057 242062 249066 261078 275091 283097 290100 297102 301100 306096 0.50 527928 525920 521916 518913 513910 507909 503909 501911 498916 499924 501927 504928 510927 517927 523928 527928 0.50 472698 471689 467684 464679 459674 455663 454658 451658 450660 447671 445677 442682 441691 439697 437700 433705 435712 434718 431725 430730 430739 427744 423747 420747 418750 417754 422765 426765 431764 436763 440765 441769 440772 435777 432781 428787 417805 412815 410825 408838 405848 401860 396873 394879 391885 385893 373905 368912 361921 354930 351934 348940 347947 345952 339963 330978 325987 321997 316008 312021 311028 315033 319035 325036 329036 331039 337043 334047 335051 342046 344043 342037 342033 342028 344020 350010 352004 353997 353991 355986 359982 363979 371963 376952 380947 385943 393938 400931 413919 419918 424919 429915 432911 438902 441897 444888 445857 446845 449839 450833 450820 449813 447809 444803 445795 447790 451783 454779 456774 456758 455743 455735 456729 459719 465710 468708 471704 472698 0.50 459652 459649 459647 458644 457644 455645 455646 454648 454651 453653 454656 455656 457656 458655 458653 459652 0.50 336919 337915 337911 335906 331896 328893 323891 319883 313862 311856 307852 304852 300854 297859 296864 294872 289881 285889 281900 280910 282923 286931 294936 303937 314936 323933 330928 333924 335920 336919 0.50 299082 300078 298073 294069 283061 276056 274058 274063 268060 263056 261053 257052 250050 247052 246056 248062 254066 260069 272077 280088 286092 293091 298086 299082 0.50 266815 265813 264812 262811 260811 259813 260815 262816 264816 266815 1.00 444740 442739 440740 440741 442741 444740 1.00 441890 441883 440877 437870 435863 436854 439834 438824 435816 433808 433798 435792 434791 432794 429803 429807 430812 430818 425824 422831 419839 413851 410859 409869 408876 405882 401890 397895 387903 382909 377914 377919 383920 387919 392918 398915 403912 405917 416909 428904 434902 438898 441890 1.00 337993 336989 333987 328991 324999 322006 319014 317022 317027 320026 325021 331016 333010 335001 337993 1.00 328919 329913 328910 325902 316892 314883 312873 309865 307864 303865 300873 296878 292884 289891 286899 285906 286917 288925 293929 299932 306933 314930 320928 325924 328919 1.00 289083 289079 289076 287074 285072 282070 278070 274071 272071 274073 276075 277077 279080 281082 283084 286085 289083 1.50 439890 440881 438877 431872 429868 428864 429861 431857 431852 433839 432831 430829 427831 424834 421842 418852 415863 414874 414882 409891 404896 397903 393911 395912 398911 402908 408904 417900 424897 430896 434897 436897 439892 439890 1.50 325917 322902 317897 313892 311875 310872 307869 304871 301879 297882 291895 289901 288908 287913 288918 290923 295928 301930 310929 315927 321924 324919 325917 2.00 437883 437879 435879 432878 429873 425874 420881 415887 409894 403901 399907 406902 413898 422893 429889 435887 437883 2.00 427845 427843 426841 425843 424846 423847 423848 423851 423853 424855 425853 426850 427848 427847 427845 2.00 323915 320904 313896 311892 309886 307880 305877 301886 295895 290904 289910 289916 292922 294924 299928 305928 315924 319922 323917 323915 3.00 318915 318909 317905 313899 307895 304893 301895 297901 293906 292911 293916 296922 299925 301924 308922 315919 318915 4.00 316913 316907 313903 309901 306900 304899 301903 301908 297912 296916 299920 303920 308920 312919 315915 316913 5.00 314911 313907 311905 308905 306905 304907 303909 302912 302916 304918 306918 310918 312916 313913 314911 6.00 310911 308909 306908 305909 305911 305914 306914 308914 309913 310912 310911 24HR QP VT 14/12Z 0.01 545917 545910 542904 540898 540889 538885 536882 531882 529878 524870 520863 515856 511848 503849 494848 483848 475844 472840 475837 479832 482827 485824 485815 486808 486801 485792 486786 486778 487771 491747 492728 493723 493715 494710 493703 491686 489681 488672 485657 483651 482643 480635 479631 477630 474631 469634 464636 461639 459639 458637 452638 445644 436651 428656 424659 424665 425671 425675 422682 416700 411711 406721 398738 394760 391769 389774 386779 380788 378792 374795 362809 350819 338826 341830 342834 340836 336836 330833 332822 336813 341807 345800 350778 349771 348774 342782 332798 323810 315812 305812 296812 285811 275809 269804 266801 270798 274795 273794 264790 260790 256793 248794 245792 243796 237804 234805 233810 234821 233831 234841 233845 234849 234854 236859 240868 249887 255907 259917 261921 261924 259923 259925 261929 265939 268948 273956 282986 280991 277997 267001 258006 254008 251008 247010 245014 243017 244021 244027 243035 236041 234051 234055 238059 243066 245069 247074 258085 266096 271104 274110 284125 288127 294128 303123 311118 316116 320114 325112 331112 342113 346110 347105 351095 356090 359087 363086 379085 382081 384075 389066 397062 405058 410057 415057 425057 428053 431049 436047 441046 443046 444042 445038 440028 432025 429024 429020 427016 426011 425006 421006 418003 403998 399997 397000 393009 388015 379021 375023 371024 367026 361029 350033 348034 345034 339034 336034 334032 335026 340017 0.01 340017 348999 350991 350985 354974 357960 362954 375936 380928 386920 398904 404895 410889 416879 425872 428869 430867 433867 439874 438877 435878 434883 435887 438892 443904 447905 450908 453912 452916 450918 447920 448925 455925 459927 462926 463929 462932 461943 466944 469940 472929 475924 479922 483920 486921 487925 489933 489939 492946 492949 494950 497955 500957 509962 514963 518961 523959 527960 530957 531952 536941 541928 543922 545917 0.01 520015 518007 513999 510993 505987 494979 482971 470978 458984 458989 460991 465999 473009 478016 483020 491020 498018 504019 513017 517017 520015 0.01 451080 451079 450078 449077 448075 448074 447072 446072 445070 443070 443072 443074 444076 445077 446077 448077 449078 451080 451080 0.25 477684 476672 474660 470653 469650 467648 461646 457647 446653 440657 437659 436662 439669 439678 440688 441694 444695 444699 442704 438712 435714 430714 424714 420716 418718 416726 416741 417749 417758 417765 415768 414772 414777 411783 406788 397798 393804 391810 385826 381840 376850 373855 368859 362863 359867 355872 350878 345885 343887 342884 336886 330887 310870 306867 303866 300867 292874 288879 285883 283886 281890 280899 278907 277915 276924 277935 279941 281949 283956 287962 289968 290977 290987 291993 291001 289006 287010 284014 263030 257033 250036 247040 247048 249054 252059 257068 260074 262081 272091 284097 291098 297094 307085 310080 311071 311057 315044 319029 321020 325013 330001 334993 336990 338986 343970 346964 350959 357951 363941 379919 387905 393892 399879 405865 410854 414842 417835 424830 427828 431828 433835 437844 441848 443849 447849 450843 456828 459822 463817 467813 471808 472803 472792 475754 476712 477684 0.25 388052 388047 385043 376040 373038 367037 364038 360041 354048 352052 351057 349061 353062 357062 361064 363060 368059 371057 375057 380057 384055 388052 0.25 339089 339084 338082 337080 334077 332076 329075 327077 325081 325085 326088 328090 331092 332092 335093 338091 339089 0.50 472690 471676 469664 468657 466652 461651 458652 455653 451657 447663 445668 447674 448682 449689 448702 446710 441717 433722 428722 425720 422720 419723 422730 422735 423739 426744 427750 425760 425771 425775 427776 430776 433780 435783 434787 433794 434797 436802 436808 433815 435819 436823 441830 445832 450831 452828 454823 456815 465798 467788 468779 469766 469751 470730 472706 472690 0.50 428786 426780 425778 423779 417786 410791 407798 403809 397818 389834 381852 377860 372865 366867 359874 354882 350892 349897 350899 350902 346904 341905 332904 326900 323897 317897 308901 302903 299903 294903 291906 288910 286914 283924 282933 284942 285948 287952 290955 292959 295972 294985 298995 296006 293014 289020 283029 276036 260042 254055 259061 263067 268074 274081 277084 282086 287084 290081 296072 300063 301052 300044 307036 312028 317020 320016 321012 324000 327991 333974 341958 348949 352941 360935 366928 376916 385901 394881 402862 407844 411835 417827 421823 423819 425815 425808 426795 428786 0.50 382051 381049 379048 378049 377051 379052 381052 382051 0.50 302897 300896 298897 297897 297898 296899 297900 298899 299899 300898 302897 1.00 468694 465674 462664 459662 457669 456676 455686 453693 450708 448716 444722 440728 440733 444739 444742 443745 439752 436757 434760 436763 443766 444770 444773 443780 443791 446800 450814 453807 454798 459787 461777 462768 462759 460752 459747 456745 456741 458738 461737 462731 463725 466709 468694 1.00 420801 421799 421797 420795 418795 416797 415799 414800 414802 413804 413805 415806 417806 419805 419804 420802 420801 1.00 418816 418813 417812 416812 414813 413814 413816 414819 416820 418818 418817 418816 1.00 405829 405825 404824 400825 394835 387852 382861 377870 373878 372885 370889 362909 360913 360919 365919 369917 375910 380902 385893 389883 392874 396865 399854 401841 405829 1.00 339921 337916 333913 324909 319905 317905 309906 304908 294912 290916 288922 287928 287935 292947 296950 299954 301960 302966 302974 302981 303988 304994 305002 307007 311009 314005 318994 321988 323982 321975 318971 321965 325960 330953 334952 335949 337943 337932 339921 1.00 294056 294054 292052 289050 285050 283051 281053 279055 277057 276061 279063 281063 284064 287064 290063 292062 293058 294056 1.50 464703 462693 460690 457694 455701 452709 451718 449726 447730 449733 452734 455730 458724 461716 463708 464703 1.50 454774 454772 454769 454768 452768 450770 450772 449775 449776 449777 449780 450781 451782 453779 454777 454775 454774 1.50 396851 395848 392849 389854 384866 379875 377882 374888 372893 369900 367905 365912 368914 372909 378898 381893 383888 384880 386874 391863 394858 396851 1.50 332928 332920 328916 323915 318911 312910 304910 299913 295916 292921 290927 290933 293939 295945 299947 303953 305958 307961 310962 316958 321949 330941 332928 1.50 314988 313987 312986 312985 311986 312986 313988 314988 2.00 461706 461703 460702 459703 458704 457706 456707 455710 456710 457712 458712 459710 460709 461707 461706 2.00 328924 327920 323919 317918 318915 315913 310912 305912 300914 295920 293924 293931 296940 298943 303944 312947 317943 325939 327937 327930 328924 3.00 317926 316924 315924 314924 312924 314925 315926 315927 317927 317926 3.00 312918 313915 312914 310914 308914 306914 304914 303915 301916 299918 298920 297922 298924 299925 301925 303926 305925 306924 308923 309922 310921 311920 312919 312918 24HR QP VT 15/12Z 0.01 518025 517021 515019 509015 503011 497007 491005 485000 482999 479996 474991 464981 450974 445972 442971 439971 436973 434978 434990 435998 437008 435011 435018 438026 440029 437031 435033 433036 443046 446047 448050 450053 449058 446067 446073 450073 454070 458063 462056 463052 463047 462045 464043 467044 470046 474046 479047 482050 486051 489050 493045 493039 492034 489030 489027 498026 518025 0.01 495681 495675 494671 491665 490658 488647 485637 466639 448642 442643 439643 433645 431648 432661 431666 431668 429670 424672 422677 417681 415684 410695 409700 406705 403711 400720 398721 396719 393716 389709 386705 383704 380713 378723 377733 373745 376749 379752 386758 388758 388761 387767 385772 383777 378784 373790 368797 365802 361810 354825 350834 346841 343851 340854 337856 335854 332855 327854 320851 312833 308823 306818 305814 308812 303812 299810 298807 288807 274802 272800 276799 280796 284794 293788 290788 287791 275793 271795 266795 258797 251798 242795 240796 240802 236803 235805 236811 236815 235819 233822 235825 236829 236835 238839 239860 241884 242910 242923 242930 243934 244935 251941 253944 253947 250949 252951 254956 258957 261963 261969 262974 262977 261980 258986 254993 250999 248008 247020 244028 242032 244037 243044 241048 262080 272095 276102 280109 283114 290111 295111 298110 306108 314107 320101 329097 338096 339090 343085 348081 361071 370075 376076 378071 376061 383056 388052 387048 384046 377042 375038 373036 368034 364034 356040 348043 340044 333044 328046 326043 326040 327032 328027 329020 330012 331006 332001 334997 340989 344984 348980 350976 353970 358964 372958 380954 384945 391925 404885 410863 413852 417842 422825 427807 432786 434776 436771 438767 454754 462748 468742 472740 475737 479728 483717 486707 495681 0.01 466866 466861 465856 465851 465848 463849 461851 459854 458857 457861 457864 457869 457872 461874 462873 464871 464868 466866 0.01 447846 447841 447838 444839 442841 440843 439844 437849 437851 436854 436859 438859 440858 443856 445856 446851 446848 447846 0.01 327068 328062 325057 321059 317061 314064 312068 309073 311077 314081 315084 316087 319086 320082 321078 324074 326069 327068 0.25 463668 463660 458660 453661 451662 448665 446671 445676 448679 452681 455681 459679 462675 463669 463668 0.25 438692 436690 434694 432705 421725 413749 412756 409763 405772 401781 397789 390797 384807 380817 378823 377833 368853 364863 360871 354879 349882 343884 333889 327891 323890 316884 312881 307880 303877 298878 290882 287886 280886 275889 272893 273899 276905 277913 278918 276925 276933 279944 282954 283961 282967 278978 276991 270001 262010 256018 255031 254043 255054 256059 258064 266071 271074 278075 286074 291073 294069 296064 300051 306032 311023 313017 315011 318998 323985 329977 337969 353961 361958 366954 370950 381929 385915 389906 396886 403863 411838 413826 417811 419801 421789 424762 427749 428743 431738 434732 433727 433721 434713 435708 438703 438692 0.50 422759 421754 419755 416763 414775 411784 404790 397799 393807 390817 378853 372873 367881 362889 352899 335908 328913 322920 319924 314924 309926 305928 300933 294932 293941 291952 294961 293966 290971 286979 283982 281987 278005 276008 273011 267009 263013 263017 267026 268033 266038 262046 259054 259059 262063 265066 269067 275068 279066 283066 287068 289068 292063 292057 288049 287040 287035 288031 294025 297022 299017 305010 311003 313999 314994 317982 320975 325969 332964 341961 349958 355956 360956 364954 368950 371942 378927 386908 392888 395878 398866 402848 404838 406826 409816 413807 416795 416788 418783 420771 422759 1.00 398839 399832 398828 397827 394831 391838 385848 383854 382861 379871 374881 362901 358905 357910 355915 350919 346921 342926 337930 333932 329935 327939 324940 326935 325930 320928 313928 309930 305940 300950 300958 299966 296979 294983 291986 287985 284989 285995 290998 295998 300998 307002 309996 310989 315978 320967 325959 329956 336954 341953 347952 354951 359953 363951 366948 371936 380913 384903 388891 395865 397851 398839 1.50 393846 390847 387854 385870 383876 379880 371891 365900 361906 360914 358920 356923 352923 347926 343931 340935 337941 336947 337950 341950 346948 349943 348936 352932 354932 354935 354940 356943 360948 365945 370934 375920 380909 385895 387889 388881 388876 389872 391865 393855 393846 1.50 321958 321955 319956 316957 312958 307958 304964 301971 300977 301984 302986 306985 309981 312977 315971 317965 320960 321958 1.50 320935 319932 317932 316932 317934 318935 319935 320935 2.00 385890 384884 381884 374891 367900 365903 363909 360921 358926 358934 359939 361941 364941 367938 369932 373921 377911 381901 385890 2.00 344943 343941 341941 339942 339943 338945 339947 340947 341947 343945 344943 2.00 312971 313969 312967 310967 308967 307966 306966 305968 305969 304971 304973 303975 304977 304979 306980 307979 308979 310977 310976 311975 312973 312971 3.00 380898 381892 376893 373898 367904 366913 364921 362925 361929 363934 366931 368923 368918 371914 375908 378902 380898