QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 543 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2016 FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION VALID AUG 13/0000 UTC THRU AUG 16/0000 UTC REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR Day 1... ...21Z UPDATE... LITTLE REASON TO CHANGE THE FORECAST BASED ON THE 12Z CYCLE OF THE ECMWF OR ANY OF THE ENSEMBLES. THE FORECAST RAINFALL NUMBERS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PART OF THE COUNTRY...HAD ALREADY BEEN COLLABORATED DURING THE DAY. THE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTRY WAS GENERALLY IN LINE WITH EACH OTHER...AND THE PCPN THEY INDICATE TENDED TO BE FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE ONGOING WPC FORECAST. BANN Central Gulf Coast ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ...Extremely Heavy Rainfall Continues Across Portions of Louisiana... Abundant moisture remains in place across the Southeast, with exceptionally anomalous 2.5-2.75+ inch PW values along the central Gulf Coast, including an observed 2.79" per the KLIX 12z RAOB. These values are between 3-4 standard deviations above the norm (near record values). The best description of this system is that of a sheared inland tropical depression or a monsoon depression. The upper high once over the system has retrograded into TX, advecting north to north-northeast flow over the top of the system. The best analog is Tropical Depression Five (2010) during its second trip into the Gulf Coast, though this system has proven to be a broader with its rainfall footprint. Given the deep high theta-e/moist profile for optimal warm rain processes (wet bulb zero heights beyond 16,000 feet), the threat for heavy tropical banding rains across this area will continue given the slow westward drift of the low- to mid-level warm core cyclone. WPC maintained a fairly large swath of areal-average QPF between 3-7" across LA and southwest MS. The best match to our QPF pattern was the 12z UKMET, though with a maximum adjusted southwestward. Most of the higher-resolution guidance indicates pockets of much higher amounts, local amounts of 10-20" additional inches of rain between now and Saturday evening. Significant to catastrophic flash flooding should continue/is still anticipated in association with this unusual heavy rain event into Saturday evening. Central and Upper Mississippi Valley - Upper Great Lakes ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The anomalous rich moist profile with adequate deep-layer instability will pose a continued risk of excessive short-term rainfall rates during the new day 1 period (12Z Fri-12Z Sat). PW anomalies continue to be quite high on the western periphery of the broad SE ridge and ahead of the approaching trough currently across the northern High Plains -- as values of 2-2.3 inches is around 3 standard deviations above normal for mid August. Despite the rich moist profile and more than sufficient dynamical support ahead of the trough (broad-scale upper divergence along with increasing right-entrance region upper jet forcing with time), the one limiting factor for widespread areal-average totals over 2 inches across portions of the central-upper MS Valley and into the upper Great Lakes will be the increasing forward propagation of convection with time later today. This occurs as the upper trough and stronger westerly flow pushes across the area tonight, with the strengthening deep-layer shear and negative PW advection (tightening PW gradient along and west of the surface front) favoring a more progressive front and pre-frontal convection with time. Therefore, the main concern with this pattern during day 1 will be the potential for excessive short-term rainfall rates (to the tune of 3" per hour). WPC QPF featured a multi-model blend, nudged in the direction of the 12z guidance, which led to higher values. It should be noted that the bulk of the high-resolution guidance indicate isolated higher totals between 4-7+ inches. Central and Southern Rockies and High Plains ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Have maintained modest areal-average rainfall over this region along the tail end of the cold front, on the back edge of the moisture gradient where the dynamical forcing is not expected to be as robust (weaker flow pattern aloft). Still, with the anomalous PW values in play (2-2.5 standard deviations above normal) along with generally modest instability (mixed layer capes 1000-2000 J/KG) and 850-700 mb frontogenesis and moisture flux, a marginal or more isolated threat for excessive rainfall will continue ahead of the cold front over these areas. DAYS 2/3... ...SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY... THE DISTURBANCE OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL CONTINUE A SLOW WESTWARD TRACK ON DAY 2 BEFORE BEING SHEARED OUT/ABSORBED INTO THE TROUGH APPROACHING THE REGION ON DAY 3. MODEL QPF CONTINUES TO SHOW THE POTENTIAL OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE NEAR RECORD VALUES ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND THE DEPTH OF THE WARM CLOUD LAYER IS AS MUCH AS 17 KFT WHICH IS LEADING TO EFFICIENT WARM RAIN PROCESSES AND PROLIFIC RAINFALL TOTALS. THE EXPECTATION IS THAT THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MOST ACTIVE AS HAS BEEN THE CASE THE PREVIOUS TWO DAYS AND SHOWN BY NEARLY ALL MODEL GUIDANCE. THE CANADIAN IS THE LONE OUTLIER WITH ALL PRECIPITATION EAST OF THE SYSTEM. GIVEN THE ENVIRONMENT...THE FORECAST QPF...AND THE EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN THAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...UPGRADED TO A HIGH RISK AND EXPANDED THE MODERATE RISK AREA ON DAY 2. FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS LESS THAN AN INCH ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA SO EVEN A LITTLE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL COULD CAUSE PROBLEMS. NEAR RECORD FLOODING IS ALREADY ONGOING IN SOME CASES. HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS THIS WEEKEND. EXPECT AN AXIS OF STRONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE TO DEVELOP...WITH NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND A COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH THE PLAINS...AND SOUTHERLY FLOW OUT OF THE GULF ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. EXPECTING NEAR RECORD PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES TO POOL ALONG THIS CONVERGENCE AXIS OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS. THIS AXIS OF VERY HIGH MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO BE NEARLY STATIONARY. MEANWHILE EXPECT A FEW SUBTLE SHORTWAVES TO TRAVERSE THE AREA ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE PLAINS TROUGH...WITH THE AREA ALSO SEEING PERIODS OF INCREASED DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. THUS WOULD EXPECT PERIODS OF CONVECTION WITHIN THIS MOISTURE AXIS. CORFIDI VECTORS BECOME VERY LIGHT...SUGGESTING THAT NEARLY STATIONARY CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH ONLY A SLOW SOUTHWARD PUSH OF THE FRONT HELPING PROGRESS THINGS. THUS SEEMS LIKE A GOOD SETUP FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE AXIS OF HIGHEST QPF...AND WPC GENERALLY FOLLOWED A CONSENSUS OF THE ECMWF/GFS/UKMET. AMOUNTS WERE KEPT ON THE CONSERVATIVE SIDE GIVEN THE LINGERING UNCERTAINTY. A SLIGHT RISK WAS MAINTAINED FOR DAY 2 AND DAY 3 ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS. THE SETUP DOES SEEM TO HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR AN EVENTUAL UPGRADE TO A MODERATE RISK WHEN CONFIDENCE IN THE EXACT LOCATION OF HIGHEST AMOUNTS INCREASES...SO WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR. ...MID MS VALLEY INTO THE OHIO VALLEY.... A WELL DEFINED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY AND OHIO VALLEY BECOMING A FOCUS FOR CONVECTION FOR MUCH OF THE DAY 2/3 PERIOD. THE AIRMASS IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS CHARACTERIZED BY MUCH ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE AS SHOWN BY PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OVER 2 INCHES ACROSS THE REGION. THE AIRMASS TO THE SOUTH...ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY...IS NEARING RECORD PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AND WILL BE TRANSPORTED BY A MODEST (20-30 KT) LOW LEVEL JET TO INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. WEAK CORFIDI VECTORS WITH MOTION PARALLEL TO THE FRONT SHOW THAT CONVECTION THAT DOES FIRE ALONG THE FRONT WILL MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST WITH LIKELY BACKBUILDING/TRAINING CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS. THIS IDEA IS WELL SUPPORTED BY THE MAJORITY OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE WITH ONLY MINOR DIFFERENCES IN THE EXACT AXIS OF THE PRECIPITATION. A SLIGHT RISK WAS MAINTAINED ON DAY 2. BY DAY 3... THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY BEGINS TO GET ABSORBED INTO THE FRONTAL ZONE WITH AN UPTICK IN PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. MAIN QUESTION ON DAY 3 IS HOW FAR NORTH AND WEST THE FRONTAL ZONE AND PRECIPITATION MAKE IT. THE GFS IS AN OUTLIER IN TAKING A HEAVY BAND OF CONVECTION WESTWARD INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THE REST OF THE GUIDANCE KEEPS HEAVY PRECIPITATION OUT OF OKLAHOMA. THERE WAS A SLIGHT WESTWARD TREND WITH THE 12Z ECMWF BUT WAS HESITANT TO JUMP ON THAT BECAUSE IT TRENDED EAST THE PREVIOUS RUN. OPTED TO STAY VERY CLOSE TO CONTINUITY GIVEN THE OVERALL CONSISTENCY IN THE MODEL SPREAD OVER THE PREVIOUS THREE MODEL CYCLES. A MODERATE RISK WAS MAINTAINED ON DAY 3 WITH A SLIGHT NORTH AND WEST EXPANSION. ...NORTHEAST... A PLUME OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL PWAT VALUES WILL STREAM ALONG/AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT INTO NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. STRONG LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE FRONT...COMBINED WITH UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION SHOULD ALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION LATER SATURDAY ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. STORMS EXPECTED TO BE PRETTY PROGRESSIVE AND INSTABILITY DROPS OFF AS YOU HEAD NORTH...SO SOME QUESTION AS TO THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AVAILABLE TO PRODUCE HIGH RAINFALL RATES ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET ALL SHOW A SWATH AS HIGH AS 2-4" OF RAIN ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE VERY HIGH PWAT AIR (NEAR RECORD LEVELS) AND SYNOPTIC SUPPORT DOES SUGGEST AT LEAST SOME FLASH FLOOD RISK DOES EXIST...WITH COMPLEX TERRAIN BEING AN ADDITIONAL FACTOR IN FAVOR OF KEEPING A SLIGHT RISK ON DAY 2. ROTH/CHENARD/KREKELER 24HR QP VT 14/00Z 0.01 464622 470622 473627 481638 482645 483656 484676 486687 487698 490721 491730 493733 493737 494748 496758 498764 500774 501782 502794 503801 504804 505817 506827 506838 505841 506846 509850 513853 517859 525870 528875 532883 542909 547923 552940 552946 553952 553959 553979 549997 545001 540008 538014 535019 531023 529026 528030 541033 553038 557041 560048 561057 561069 560074 558077 553083 557088 559095 557102 554110 551115 546118 544119 540120 538121 534120 524114 513114 510116 510118 513126 520140 522145 527150 539153 544155 547164 546176 545188 542193 538199 537202 534203 530205 520198 516192 512185 505174 501171 496168 493163 490155 489152 489146 485139 480136 473134 466133 461134 458135 457133 451131 448124 447117 445114 441113 433112 428113 423111 421107 426101 423094 423088 425085 427079 424073 422071 419070 416071 414073 410077 405080 398083 393083 380085 376083 371080 365077 358079 356082 355086 351093 348098 347107 348110 348114 345119 334113 331111 329112 324112 322114 319117 312120 303116 299113 292109 285106 282105 280103 269096 265093 262088 253079 250075 245071 235063 229056 229049 227044 228034 229028 231023 236011 236008 234005 235001 238995 244996 248998 251997 254998 262005 278020 280022 287023 298020 307017 312013 315009 322000 328992 341973 346965 350961 350951 349944 343943 338942 330942 324942 318943 305945 295945 286939 277933 273931 270929 269927 266915 263903 263888 262880 263874 264867 266863 267856 261852 253848 246841 238835 236830 233824 232817 233811 231806 228803 222792 219788 218782 218778 223777 227777 231778 0.01 231778 235781 239783 244782 249778 262776 273778 282771 288762 289759 293759 300757 303755 307756 311756 318755 320756 324756 335758 346761 350760 355756 358754 363758 366762 370758 373754 376748 378743 380736 381722 383706 384692 381674 380666 381658 386647 0.01 459624 453631 448635 444651 439668 435684 431701 427717 426722 423724 417726 415715 417705 418697 420690 421680 418671 414663 415653 415646 414642 412639 0.01 518077 516076 515075 513074 512072 510071 509071 507071 506073 505073 504075 505078 506080 508081 510081 511081 513081 515081 516080 516079 518077 0.01 504024 500007 498998 495990 484957 478956 470954 457950 452954 447959 442963 438969 432972 427977 424997 431011 439023 442028 444031 445033 448032 450040 450044 448046 446051 447057 448061 450064 454071 456073 460074 464075 468073 471067 474059 476049 477039 479034 479029 481022 483017 486017 492018 497020 501023 502025 504024 0.01 441805 439803 438804 437806 438808 440807 441805 0.01 396032 395030 394030 393027 393026 392025 391024 390025 389025 388026 386027 388028 388029 389031 390031 391032 393033 394033 396032 0.01 381859 381848 378844 375842 366843 359846 355852 352859 352870 354874 357876 360878 365878 371873 376868 380861 381859 0.01 376783 371779 367775 366771 364769 361774 357779 355786 352791 349796 350799 354799 359800 365797 369793 372788 376783 0.25 550061 549057 546055 543056 541057 538058 537059 533061 532064 535066 536067 539068 542068 544067 546066 549063 550061 0.25 527172 527167 526164 521161 519156 517153 514150 510147 505144 503145 501150 505156 509159 513163 517169 521173 525174 527172 0.25 537979 534949 533943 531937 526928 524923 521918 516910 511901 508898 506896 503896 498905 494907 491911 490917 489925 492937 496948 501957 506966 512975 516984 518988 520994 521000 524002 531994 534987 537979 0.25 494848 493828 493823 492818 490815 488810 488798 487787 486783 484779 482778 480772 478764 477752 473731 469717 466710 462703 459700 455700 452702 446707 442713 438719 436725 431740 430747 431757 436759 441760 446765 449768 450772 450782 450792 451799 451806 448812 446815 442817 437821 434826 424836 416845 409855 393878 388888 382902 376914 370929 368938 369949 369958 368967 364979 359983 355987 347995 343000 339006 336014 334022 330036 328038 324039 319039 304035 299033 292035 286035 280036 276040 270042 260041 255040 253038 248034 244030 240028 236029 235033 236039 235046 237052 241058 245063 254070 270087 280095 286098 295100 300101 304100 312099 319099 319095 316094 313092 312089 312082 310074 310070 311068 316066 322065 330064 337062 342059 347054 358049 363046 364045 363041 362032 362023 367010 368004 370001 373003 377008 382010 394012 397014 399017 401019 403017 401999 403989 405983 408977 412973 431956 440949 445946 447943 447937 447931 449927 453920 458908 463894 466888 470884 482876 487872 489866 492856 494848 0.25 440040 438040 436040 436041 438042 440041 440040 0.25 435042 433041 431037 426033 422033 420034 414037 404044 390047 384047 378046 372047 373049 378050 386050 393052 407054 420055 424056 430055 434048 432045 434043 435042 0.25 429781 428770 425755 422746 419744 416738 411731 410726 410720 411710 409695 407682 403671 402667 399664 396668 396673 395684 397698 400724 397733 396739 397746 396750 393752 390750 388750 385751 379757 374763 372767 373772 377775 380773 388768 392766 396766 396776 394781 390783 386785 384789 379796 377800 379803 384802 389804 398821 402829 406830 412830 415827 417823 421813 424806 427796 429787 429781 0.25 358823 357819 355818 352819 349820 345823 342827 340831 340836 342840 346841 350839 353835 355832 357828 358823 0.25 348914 335899 329891 327887 325881 322868 318856 310833 308828 305823 296818 289814 278809 269806 265804 265799 266795 264793 260792 252793 247795 244798 241803 240809 241816 242820 244822 247818 251810 253812 255818 259823 262826 272830 282832 293833 298836 301841 300847 296851 287857 281865 277868 275873 273877 273884 277898 280908 284920 288927 291932 296936 318936 324936 330935 335934 341930 346922 348914 0.25 326107 326106 325104 323103 322104 321106 322107 324107 326107 326107 0.50 530968 530960 530952 528941 523933 518926 510922 505923 504926 503934 503942 506952 510962 515969 522974 525976 528973 530968 0.50 488848 487841 484835 480829 480819 481810 481800 480789 478782 476773 476761 473753 472748 469747 466748 465752 463760 462768 462778 464787 466793 469801 470807 469811 464825 459838 456839 454837 449833 445832 442834 437838 425845 418853 410863 401873 395883 388897 379923 375936 375945 377952 380958 380964 379974 378982 380990 383996 389999 393995 399983 402978 407972 414963 423954 431945 435940 437931 441918 444910 445901 449887 454871 457866 461863 468864 475865 479864 482863 485860 487855 488848 0.50 423787 422784 420783 417785 414789 412793 410798 410803 410807 414810 417808 419804 421799 422794 423789 423787 0.50 390760 388758 386758 382758 381759 377762 376764 375767 376769 380770 382768 385766 386764 388762 390760 0.50 364994 364990 362989 357995 352000 349008 347015 345021 345026 347029 352030 354022 357014 358005 362998 364994 0.50 353828 353826 352826 351827 350829 349829 348831 348832 347833 348834 350834 351833 351832 352831 353829 353828 0.50 339921 340914 338910 331903 326896 324892 322885 319874 318869 315865 308861 305858 298858 290862 283869 279876 278881 277888 280898 284908 288917 292924 294929 298932 302934 306932 317932 322933 328932 336928 339921 0.50 299088 301083 300077 297070 286059 282052 280049 276050 273054 273059 275061 276063 273064 266060 260055 254051 250049 245050 243052 242056 246058 248061 254066 261070 272081 282091 290094 294094 297092 299088 0.50 294824 290820 286818 281816 275814 269813 266813 263815 263819 265821 270824 274826 280828 287828 293826 294824 0.50 255799 253799 252800 251800 250801 249802 250803 252802 253802 254800 255800 255799 0.50 310045 309044 308045 309046 310045 1.00 440873 441863 439856 434858 428862 420870 409877 402887 396899 391911 388916 386924 385932 387939 391942 393945 393949 392956 391965 387970 386979 402968 411959 419949 426940 429935 432928 434921 436912 437895 439883 440873 1.00 332921 330913 327906 318895 314890 313885 314881 314877 312875 307869 305867 301866 294869 288873 284879 283887 284896 286904 289912 292918 295925 298928 301929 308927 317928 326926 331924 332921 1.00 284823 283822 281821 279821 277820 276821 274822 276822 278823 279823 280824 281824 283824 284823 1.00 282076 282074 282073 280073 279071 278071 276071 275071 274073 273071 273070 272071 273071 274073 276075 278077 278078 279079 281078 281077 282076 1.50 432921 432915 432909 431900 429888 425883 418885 411887 406892 402899 401903 401908 401916 400926 400933 401939 401945 400954 401958 404959 406958 409955 418945 427933 430927 432921 1.50 325919 324913 322907 319902 314898 309896 307890 308884 309880 307876 303872 299872 294874 289879 287883 286891 287900 289906 293917 297922 303924 314924 321922 325919 2.00 429916 429904 426900 424900 420899 417896 413895 411898 408903 408908 407922 405933 406942 409946 412944 418938 423930 427921 429916 2.00 321917 321911 318907 315903 309901 305899 303895 305882 304878 302877 298876 293878 290881 289888 289891 290898 291906 293911 295916 304920 315921 320920 321917 3.00 315911 313909 311908 310908 308908 306908 305909 304910 304912 303914 304915 305916 306916 308917 310917 312917 313915 315913 315911 315911 3.00 299899 299897 299895 299893 299891 299889 299886 298885 297885 296884 296885 294886 294887 293889 293891 293893 293895 294897 294899 294901 295903 296903 297904 297903 298901 299900 299899 24HR QP VT 15/00Z 0.01 472619 471624 471631 477630 480632 482636 485637 488647 491662 492668 494673 495681 493688 492694 493703 492728 490742 490754 486776 486784 485790 484794 480799 469814 467818 464820 461818 457818 440815 432821 426829 420836 415845 408866 402883 394901 386920 382927 378933 368950 363958 357966 347982 337993 331003 330008 329016 328028 327033 326040 327043 329042 334041 342039 350037 357033 362032 366029 373023 377019 381017 386011 390008 394004 404004 410005 415007 419008 420013 423023 420031 412047 405053 399060 394064 391066 386067 382068 380068 378070 377075 372075 367073 362075 358076 353078 346083 340088 339094 338096 335096 331097 327100 317113 311121 309124 303123 283116 274104 250077 247074 246070 244066 244062 243051 244038 244028 244022 243018 245014 248012 248009 249002 251998 255990 258986 260982 262979 262973 261970 261964 257944 253918 249899 245881 243875 242871 239866 238861 234851 233845 234840 233827 234816 233806 239801 240796 242795 245792 247794 248796 251796 255794 259791 264790 272794 275795 271798 268800 270802 275803 279803 282805 290806 292806 296805 298805 298810 301811 308812 305815 309824 312833 316841 317846 320851 329855 335854 338856 340854 344850 346840 350834 359816 367799 372791 378784 383776 385772 387767 392749 405736 408733 410728 412723 414716 415704 417695 420689 423679 425674 425669 425665 424659 428656 430655 431652 431646 441643 444640 443637 439631 0.01 466866 466861 465856 465851 465848 463849 461851 459854 458857 457861 457864 457869 457872 461874 462873 464871 464868 466866 0.01 463055 463047 461042 455034 453029 447028 442028 438031 434034 433037 441044 445047 449051 449057 447062 446069 446073 448073 453071 455067 458063 461058 463055 0.01 447846 447841 447838 444839 442841 440843 439844 437849 437851 436854 436859 438859 440858 443856 445856 446851 446848 447846 0.25 480683 479671 477659 475652 472645 466642 465640 465635 464629 462628 458629 455633 451639 448643 438654 435660 434669 433689 433694 432698 432702 435701 440698 444697 440713 436719 431723 422726 420732 420735 422738 429742 426748 422754 419756 417759 416769 414776 411781 405785 395794 385806 382812 379820 377835 372849 369856 365863 357875 350884 345890 339893 332895 325895 318892 315887 312882 310880 307878 302875 294873 285875 281881 279882 277885 276894 275902 275910 276920 277930 277952 279960 281966 285974 286983 284993 282000 278004 273006 268006 265008 261013 258017 256024 254031 249036 248041 248045 248051 250055 255065 262077 266083 272087 275089 279089 286088 292085 297080 304070 307063 309055 309047 310036 314023 318014 320005 324991 330979 338967 346958 358950 367940 375929 382916 389904 395890 435772 443769 450767 452772 456779 458787 459792 462788 465781 469773 472739 475720 476710 478701 480692 480683 0.25 375051 372046 367043 362044 357047 352050 349053 345059 346062 350063 357063 362062 368060 372055 375051 0.50 474685 473677 472667 470660 467654 461648 460644 455644 447651 440658 438664 440673 441681 442684 444684 447682 448690 448703 446715 443720 440724 438726 438730 441734 445737 446744 445750 449753 454755 459755 463745 466732 471706 473695 474685 0.50 444749 443749 441750 440752 442754 443752 443751 444749 0.50 419802 419795 416791 409790 403792 400795 395801 391809 388817 385826 382836 378854 375862 370871 362885 358893 353899 349902 345904 337905 318910 310909 301906 295910 290917 286925 285933 282944 282950 283956 286963 290968 291974 291981 291993 289004 285011 282014 278015 274016 271020 270031 266035 257039 255042 253047 252050 253055 256061 261068 267074 272079 279083 284083 288081 294075 298067 300059 301053 299048 297038 296034 297030 303023 308016 313011 315007 316001 318992 321982 325973 334961 339955 346950 359943 366937 372930 380917 385909 389901 395885 402866 408847 412828 415813 419802 0.50 304890 303887 302885 298885 295887 293889 291891 290893 291897 293897 297899 298900 300898 302895 303893 304890 1.00 465695 465686 464678 462669 459664 456667 454672 452684 451699 451712 448724 448728 450731 453733 457729 459724 463713 464700 465695 1.00 457660 456658 456657 455658 454659 453661 455662 456662 457660 1.00 407834 401804 398809 398816 392826 388836 384849 381863 376873 365894 358904 351912 348915 342916 336913 330912 308920 298923 294927 290931 288937 288942 290949 292955 296960 297964 298972 297978 295991 297996 302000 306000 310997 313992 315985 319972 321967 324962 330953 333948 337947 341946 345942 348941 351942 355941 363935 371926 378917 383908 388897 393884 401860 405846 407834 1.00 294060 292054 285050 279047 275045 271045 265048 263053 263058 266064 271070 274075 277078 281079 284077 286074 291068 294061 294060 1.50 459696 459692 458689 456685 455688 454693 454695 454700 454705 454708 454711 458710 459707 459704 459699 459696 1.50 404836 402831 398830 394832 391838 386861 382870 377880 372889 366898 360907 355916 354921 356927 354933 356935 359935 363932 366929 373920 378913 384904 392882 399860 402848 404836 1.50 334930 335924 334919 331916 326916 311922 304925 297929 294931 292935 291940 292943 297950 301958 301967 299977 298986 299991 302993 309992 311989 313986 317967 320959 324952 331937 334930 2.00 398853 398847 397844 394845 390854 386871 382879 378886 369899 365906 360912 357915 357919 362925 363927 365926 368923 373918 378911 383904 386896 388887 393868 396860 398853 2.00 332926 332922 330919 325919 322919 308925 302928 296933 295936 294941 296945 299947 305950 306955 305960 302977 301985 302988 306990 309987 311983 313975 314966 316958 319950 323944 330931 332926 3.00 382900 383896 381893 378895 374900 373902 369907 367909 365914 364916 369916 373914 375911 378908 380904 382900 3.00 328924 326923 325923 323924 322924 321924 316927 314930 318932 323931 324930 325930 326928 328926 328924 328924 3.00 309933 308932 307932 302934 300937 302938 306936 307935 308934 309933 24HR QP VT 16/00Z 0.01 518025 517020 514018 508014 497007 489004 483999 472991 447937 440939 438940 435944 432952 431961 431973 433981 434994 436002 437008 435012 435017 436021 435024 432022 428016 424008 420008 416010 406018 395026 391031 389034 390038 389043 386046 381046 377048 369048 363051 359056 359061 360064 362067 366068 370069 373071 382073 388073 391072 398069 403066 414058 421056 424058 426061 433078 434082 433085 431089 430094 429101 430105 433108 440111 446110 450111 454109 457102 458088 458074 457065 453059 450053 447044 446040 448036 455039 462043 468044 481050 485051 488050 491048 493044 493038 491033 488027 506027 513026 518025 0.01 476646 471650 461653 456654 454653 450652 451648 448644 445643 441648 433653 432663 432667 430670 425672 415684 400718 399721 396720 393716 389709 384703 382704 381709 377728 376737 373745 378751 385758 386763 385768 383777 379800 377812 374819 370826 366833 361839 356845 345856 342858 339862 337870 332878 323874 319872 317868 315864 311864 307865 305862 304855 302852 291841 290836 293832 296829 297825 296820 294817 286814 270812 262810 258810 260807 289791 293788 289789 285791 279792 270795 262796 255797 247801 242803 238803 235804 235810 236815 237821 238830 239854 241879 241900 242927 242932 244935 250940 254946 251948 251950 253954 256956 259956 260952 257980 245016 243023 239031 233038 230041 230045 232054 235062 238070 243075 265096 271101 273104 276103 284090 289083 294075 301069 302068 303064 303057 303052 302047 303035 309018 316003 319994 321991 325989 342982 357976 382955 389951 395945 397942 398936 400929 407910 413894 416884 418872 420844 420832 421823 421817 422811 424803 431764 434756 436747 440736 443729 451713 458697 462687 466677 472658 476646 0.25 420794 418779 417774 413772 415760 415753 413748 411744 408740 404748 404755 405764 405772 403778 402784 400788 394796 389817 385829 381841 373859 364876 359884 353892 344898 335902 330903 325904 321904 319902 316898 310890 308887 306882 305878 304877 299878 294885 289895 288909 286919 283931 283934 284940 284949 283962 279971 263013 259021 254028 242040 239046 239051 241056 244060 247064 249069 256074 266077 270079 275080 280078 283075 288068 289062 289056 289043 289037 292032 298022 302013 306003 309994 314986 317981 321977 330973 335971 341970 350969 356968 360965 367961 375954 380948 386940 390932 394920 398906 409864 414838 415826 417811 420794 0.50 415804 406806 397818 393825 391833 383851 368880 360896 351909 342920 326926 314933 310936 308939 305942 301944 295949 292956 295961 291969 282984 280991 279003 274009 271016 268023 266032 262034 258035 254037 252041 251047 248048 250056 254062 258067 265071 273073 276073 280069 282066 283060 281043 280039 280034 285028 291024 296019 299011 300002 302996 304992 308985 318974 324969 330966 340963 346963 353963 363960 369955 373949 378943 382936 390919 393912 395901 399884 402875 405866 408856 409846 412826 414814 415804 0.50 299918 297916 295916 293917 292920 292923 292927 292931 292933 294937 296937 297935 297934 297931 296926 297923 299920 299918 1.00 404852 404847 402842 399841 396845 389853 384861 380869 376879 366896 362903 357913 349932 331938 324943 316949 310956 305962 300970 295980 293985 291988 290990 292995 295995 299991 304984 316971 330958 336953 345951 351950 357951 364950 368947 373940 377933 382924 387913 393893 396882 400871 403862 404852 1.00 293018 294014 294010 293006 291005 289006 287009 285011 282012 281014 280016 278019 276022 279022 281022 285021 288020 290019 293018 1.00 277061 278057 278053 276051 274049 271049 267050 265052 264054 264058 264060 266063 268064 271066 274065 276063 277061 1.50 401857 401850 399853 391858 386865 381875 377883 372891 367899 362909 354927 353932 354937 356941 363942 370937 376929 380921 384911 391890 398869 401857 1.50 343943 340942 336942 328945 323948 317953 314958 312965 315967 317965 323960 327956 331949 333947 337946 340948 343945 343943 2.00 395869 394866 391864 386870 379884 372896 368902 365909 362916 359923 357927 356931 357936 361937 368935 373929 380916 383909 385902 390886 392877 395869 3.00 388881 388876 385881 381891 380894 374905 369915 366919 362923 360927 365929 370926 373922 375917 380909 384898 386888 388881