US Day 3-7 Hazards Outlook
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
325 PM EST Tue Feb 08 2022
 
Valid Friday February 11 2022 - Tuesday February 15 2022
 
Hazards:
- Heavy precipitation across portions of the Alaska Panhandle, Fri-Sat, Feb 11-Feb 12.
- Much below normal temperatures across portions of mainland Alaska, Fri-Mon, Feb 11-Feb 14.
 
Detailed Summary:

Relatively tranquil conditions with little in the way of hazardous weather can be expected through 
the medium-range period (Friday, February 11th-Tuesday, February 15th). While the basic upper-air 
pattern across North America remains similar to that in recent weeks, the broad northern stream 
trough is forecast to retreat farther north leading to less chance of it interacting with the 
southern stream flow coming up from the Gulf of Mexico toward the southeastern U.S. Only a couple 
of areas will be marginally close to hazardous weather consideration. A clipper low pressure system 
is forecast to deliver a period of snow from northern Minnesota to the Great Lakes Friday into 
Saturday. The highest chance for the snow to accumulate a few inches will be near the Canadian 
border of northern Minnesota. Behind this clipper, a shot of arctic air is forecast to drop 
temperatures to 15-20 degrees below normal across lower Michigan and into the northern portion of 
the Ohio Valley on Sunday. A dome of high pressure stationed over the West Coast will contribute to 
anomalously warm temperatures. Parts of Southern California are under an excessive heat watch with 
high temperatures expected to be in the upper 80s to mid 90s. Parts of northern California may 
experience high temperatures between 20-25 degrees above average during this period.

For Alaska, the frequent influx of Pacific moisture toward southeastern Alaska through the 
Panhandle in the short-range period is forecast to relax on Thursday before picking back up by the 
time the medium-range period begins on Friday. By later on Friday into Saturday, the next moisture 
plume associated with a triple-point low is forecast to bring heavy precipitation mainly across the 
northern portion of the Panhandle. A consistent period of below average temperatures in the short 
range is expected to continue into the medium range for parts of the western/northern mainland 
coast as well as the Brooks Range due to a persistent area of high pressure. By early next week, 
models have been indicating a bigger storm system to move across the Aleutians. It appears that 
this system will not be strong enough to generate winds of 50 knots or higher over a significant 
area. Therefore, no areas of high winds have been indicated for the Aleutians at this time.

Kebede/Kong