Graphic for MPD #0038
 
MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0038
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
627 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014
 
AREAS AFFECTED...FL PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN GA 
 
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE 
 
VALID 301026Z - 301426Z
 
SUMMARY...HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT HAS COME TO AN END ACROSS SOUTHERN
AL/MS AS THE COLD FRONT AND PRECEDING AXIS OF STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY
INFLOW HAS BEGUN TO SHIFT EAST.  HOWEVER...THE HEAVY/EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL THREAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FL PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWESTERN GA.

DISCUSSION...RADAR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW THE EASTERN ADVANCE
OF HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWESTERN GA. 
HOWEVER...REDEVELOPMENT CONTINUES BACK ALONG THE WESTERN
FLANK...SUPPORTED BY PERSISTENT SOUTHWESTERLY INFLOW AHEAD OF THE
FRONTAL BAND.  PWS REMAIN HIGH AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH THE LATEST
MESOANALYSIS INDICATING PWS OF OVER 2 INCHES OVER THE FAR WESTERN
PANHANDLE.  MEANWHILE...ENHANCED UPPER DIVERGENCE ALONG THE
LEFT-EXIT REGION OF THE SUBTROPICAL JET AND STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT
OVER A RAIN COOLED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO ADD SUPPORT
FOR REDEVELOPMENT ALONG THIS WESTERN EDGE.

THE WESTERN EDGE WILL CONTINUE TO ADVANCE EAST ALONG WITH THE COLD
FRONT AND OUT OF AREAS THAT HAVE HAVE ALREADY BEEN INUNDATED WITH
10-15 INCHES OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN AL AND THE FAR WESTERN
PANHANDLE.  FURTHER TO THE EAST ACROSS THE HIGHLIGHTED AREA...AN
ADDITIONAL 2-4 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED BEFORE RAINFALL ENDS LATER
THIS MORNING.   

PEREIRA

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...MOB...

ATTN...RFC...LMRFC...SERFC...

LAT...LON   29438697 29958705 30698603 30908547 30918411 30718315
            30388304 29998391 29618481 29348556 29248657 29438697 


Last Updated: 627 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014