MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0098
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
556 AM EDT THU JUN 05 2014
 
AREAS AFFECTED......CENTRAL/EASTERN KS/SOUTHWEST MO... 
 
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE 
 
VALID 050955Z - 051355Z
 
SUMMARY...AN MCS OVER CENTRAL KS WILL TRACK EAST SOUTHEAST ALONG
AN AXIS OF ELEVATED INSTABILITY ACROSS EASTERN KS AND SOUTHWEST
MO. HIGH RAINFALL RATES WITH THE MCS COULD RESULT IN FLASH
FLOODING THROUGH 1330Z.

DISCUSSION...AN MCS OVER CENTRAL KS IS TRACKING ALONG AND JUST
NORTH OF OF AN AXIS OF MUCAPE OF GREATER THAN 2000 J/KG EXTENDING
FROM CENTRAL KS INTO SOUTHWEST MO. THE MEAN LAYER WIND SHOULD TAKE
THE MCS EAST SOUTHEAST CLOSE TO THE AXIS OF INSTABILITY THROUGH
1330Z. THE MCS HAS BEEN FAIRLY EFFICIENT WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS...
WITH LOCAL 2 TO 4 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL KS EARLIER THIS MORNING.

THE AXIS OF BEST INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN MORE OR LESS IN PLACE
THROUGH 14Z. THE MEAN LAYER WIND SHOULD KEEP THE MCS MOVING EAST
SOUTHEAST...AFFECTING EASTERN KS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MO.
PWAT VALUES NEAR 2.00 INCHES SHOULD CONTINUE THE POTENTIAL FOR
HIGH RAINFALL RATES...WHICH COULD OVERCOME INITIALLY HIGH FFG
VALUES.

HAYES

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...
GLD...

ATTN...RFC...ABRFC...LMRFC...MBRFC...

LAT...LON   39759731 39689695 39339580 38899486 38259377 37699308
            37309277 37049265 36679257 36439267 36279291 36209324
            36259364 36389401 36689495 37099610 37429738 37889867
            37959893 38880032 39530012 39899925 39869871 39759731