MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0181
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
946 PM EDT TUE JUL 08 2014
AREAS AFFECTED...NW AR...WESTERN TN...NORTHERN MS...NORTHERN AL
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE
VALID 090145Z - 090645Z
SUMMARY...CONCERNS REMAIN FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING STORMS
ACROSS THE REGION AS A DEEP POOL OF MOISTURE FED BY
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY INFLOW CONTINUES TO SUPPORT STRONGER ORGANIZED
THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT.
DISCUSSION...LATEST MESOANALYSIS SHOWS 1.75 TO 2.25+ INCH PWS
ACROSS THE AREA SUPPORTED BY WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A
SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT THAT WILL HELP SUPPORT SOME STRONG
ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS THAT MAY TEND TO REGENERATE
UPSTREAM AND TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT. WHILE SOME SPREAD EXISTS IN THE PLACEMENT OF THE HEAVIEST
RAINS...MANY OF THE 12Z HI RES RUNS SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR 1 TO
3 INCH AMOUNTS WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES.
PEREIRA
ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...MEG...LZK...
ATTN...RFC...ABRFC...LMRFC...SERFC...
LAT...LON 34488924 34459013 34799125 35209134 35769029 35788915
35728819 35518643 35048618 34578648 34408705 34428790
34488924
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Last Updated: 946 PM EDT TUE JUL 08 2014