Graphic for MPD #0185
 
MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0185
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1052 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2014
 
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST SC AND FAR SOUTHEAST NC 
 
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE 
 
VALID 110251Z - 110551Z
 
SUMMARY...TRAINING CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO LAST ANOTHER 2-3
HOURS, ADDING TO 3-5" PRECIPITATION TOTALS ACROSS THE REGION. 
SOME INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE HERE.

DISCUSSION...A TRAINING BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS LED TO 2-5" OF
RAINFALL IN THE 23-02Z PERIOD ACROSS NORTHEAST SC PER THE NSSL
QPE.  AMPLE INSTABILITY AND 25 KTS OF 850 HPA INFLOW ACROSS THE
REGION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
PERPETUATING THE LIFE OF THE TRAINING BAND FOR ANOTHER 2-3 HOURS. 
HOURLY RAIN RATES UP TO 2.5" AN HOUR ARE EXPECTED, AND A QUICK
3-5" OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE, WHICH SHOULD CAUSE SOME
INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING.

ROTH

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CAE...

ATTN...RFC...SERFC...

LAT...LON   33587876 33498044 33758132 34298027 34347839 33977774
            33587876 


Last Updated: 1052 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2014